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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 10547 — Mohegan Lake, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Shrub Oak, NY (462 ft), 1 miles northeast.

Updated

In Mohegan Lake, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 30 in half of years and has passed by May 13 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 17, as early as October 4 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 172 days (NOAA, Shrub Oak, NY).

Last spring frost
April 30

50% probability

First fall frost
October 17

50% probability

Growing season
172 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 22

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
39.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mohegan Lake

Half of springs at Shrub Oak, NY see their last 32°F night by April 30; only one in ten is past it by April 16, and one in ten still has one after May 13. Planting tender crops after May 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 8 20%, and after May 13 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 83% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 17 in half of years, as early as October 4 one year in ten, and holds off past November 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 30; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 1, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 172 days in a typical year, longer than at 69% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 192 days one year in ten and falls short of 152 one year in ten. On average 136 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 10, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 6 and March 13.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 27May 1May 3May 7May 10May 12May 16May 20May 26
32°FApr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 13
28°FApr 3Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 1
24°FMar 20Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 17
20°FMar 7Mar 13Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 5
16°FFeb 21Mar 1Mar 6Mar 9Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 23Mar 28
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 22
32°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Nov 3
28°FOct 16Oct 20Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 13
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 27
20°FNov 5Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9
16°FNov 18Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 6Dec 10Dec 15Dec 20Dec 28

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Shrub Oak, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 10547 →Compare Mohegan Lake with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Yorktown Hts 1W, NY, 4 miles southeast of Mohegan Lake and 208 feet higher, has a last frost 5 days earlier (April 25), a first frost 2 days later (October 19), a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 10562 (Ossining) →

When it snows in Mohegan Lake, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mohegan Lake usually arrives around December 6, and the last of the season around March 22. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Yorktown Hts 1W, NY, 4.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 10547

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mohegan Lake, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 19 – March 5Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 5 – March 19Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 2 – April 16Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 30 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 25Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 3Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 17 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 10547 is 1 mile from Shrub Oak, NY, which stands at 462 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 7 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 10541 (Mahopac). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 10547 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in New York