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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 12043 — Cobleskill, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY (1,169 ft), 5 miles southeast.

Updated

In Cobleskill, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 9 in half of years and has passed by May 26 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 4, as early as September 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 148 days (NOAA, Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY).

Last spring frost
May 9

50% probability

First fall frost
October 4

50% probability

Growing season
148 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 19

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 30

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
53.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Cobleskill

Half of springs at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY see their last 32°F night by May 9; only one in ten is past it by April 26, and one in ten still has one after May 26. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 20 20%, and after May 26 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 4 in half of years, as early as September 19 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 15, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 148 days in a typical year, shorter than at 76% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 168 days one year in ten and falls short of 126 one year in ten. On average 155 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 20, and return around September 25. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and March 30.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 5May 10May 13May 17May 20May 23May 26May 30Jun 4
32°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 16May 20May 26
28°FApr 14Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 8May 15
24°FApr 2Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 26May 1
20°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 19
16°FMar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 9Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Oct 1Oct 3Oct 7
32°FSep 19Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 20
28°FOct 1Oct 4Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19Oct 23Oct 29Nov 3
24°FOct 10Oct 17Oct 21Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14
20°FOct 24Oct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26
16°FNov 4Nov 10Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12043 →Compare Cobleskill with another place →

Weather by month in Cobleskill

July is the warmest month at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,209 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 76% of the 173 New York stations. 31% of them (687) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 586. Precipitation totals 41.0 inches a year, most in August (4.3") and least in February (2.2"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan31122.5100%291
Feb33132.2100%270
Mar41213.1100%275
Apr55333.4100%1546
May67443.777%1205
Jun75544.25%<1431
Jul80584.20%0586
Aug78574.31%<1534
Sep71493.633%1307
Oct59383.997%881
Nov46292.8100%1912
Dec36203.1100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY (1,169 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Schoharie, NY, 11 miles east of Cobleskill and 435 feet lower, has a last frost 7 days earlier (May 2), a first frost 9 days later (October 13), a season 15 days longer.

Frost dates for 12157 (Schoharie) →

When it snows in Cobleskill, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Cobleskill usually arrives around November 19, and the last of the season around March 30. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY, 4.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 40 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12043

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Cobleskill, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 28 – March 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 14 – March 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 11 – April 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 20Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 4 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12043 is 5 miles from Cobleskill 2 ESE, NY, which stands at 1,169 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12043 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in New York