Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 12138 — Petersburg, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Grafton, NY (1,560 ft), 5 miles west.

Updated

In Petersburg, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 1 in half of years and has passed by May 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 11, as early as September 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 162 days (NOAA, Grafton, NY).

Last spring frost
May 1

50% probability

First fall frost
October 11

50% probability

Growing season
162 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 9

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 5

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Petersburg

Half of springs at Grafton, NY see their last 32°F night by May 1; only one in ten is past it by April 18, and one in ten still has one after May 15. Planting tender crops after May 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 15 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 63% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 11 in half of years, as early as September 28 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 25; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 2, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 162 days in a typical year, shorter than at 50% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 181 days one year in ten and falls short of 142 one year in ten. On average 152 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 14, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 27 and March 23.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 3May 7May 10May 14May 18May 21May 25May 30
32°FApr 18Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 10May 15
28°FApr 5Apr 9Apr 13Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 2
24°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20
20°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 12
16°FMar 9Mar 13Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 19Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 15
32°FSep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 27
28°FOct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 7
24°FOct 23Oct 29Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 20
20°FNov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 28Dec 2
16°FNov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 2Dec 6Dec 12

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Grafton, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12138 →Compare Petersburg with another place →

Weather by month in Petersburg

July is the warmest month at Grafton, NY, averaging 78°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 51% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,235 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 72% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (707) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 572. Precipitation totals 47.1 inches a year, most in October (4.7") and least in February (2.6"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grafton, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30143.0100%292
Feb32162.6100%260
Mar41233.7100%265
Apr55354.4100%1459
May67464.451%1219
Jun74544.50%0422
Jul78594.30%0572
Aug77584.00%0541
Sep69514.214%<1306
Oct58414.796%792
Nov45303.5100%1916
Dec34213.8100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grafton, NY (1,560 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Pownal 1 NE, VT, 8 miles east of Petersburg and 450 feet lower, has a last frost 6 days later (May 7), a first frost 3 days earlier (October 8), a season 8 days shorter.

Frost dates for 05261 (Pownal) →

When it snows in Petersburg, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Petersburg usually arrives around November 9, and the last of the season around April 5. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Pownal 1 NE, VT, 7.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12138

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Petersburg, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 20 – March 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 6 – March 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 3 – April 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12138 is 5 miles from Grafton, NY, which stands at 1,560 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 12018 (Averill Park). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12138 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in New York