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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 12413 — Cairo, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Cairo 3 NW, NY (490 ft), 1 miles northwest.

Updated

In Cairo, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 29 in half of years and has passed by May 13 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 14, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 169 days (NOAA, Cairo 3 NW, NY).

Last spring frost
April 29

50% probability

First fall frost
October 14

50% probability

Growing season
169 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 30

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 29

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

19 of 19 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Cairo

Half of springs at Cairo 3 NW, NY see their last 32°F night by April 29; only one in ten is past it by April 15, and one in ten still has one after May 13. Planting tender crops after May 4 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 8 20%, and after May 13 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 63% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 14 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past November 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 30, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 169 days in a typical year, longer than at 64% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 191 days one year in ten and falls short of 148 one year in ten. On average 148 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 10, and return around October 3. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 3 and March 16.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 27Apr 30May 4May 7May 10May 13May 16May 20May 26
32°FApr 15Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 13
28°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 30
24°FMar 21Mar 26Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 17
20°FMar 11Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6
16°FMar 4Mar 8Mar 11Mar 14Mar 16Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 17
32°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18Oct 22Oct 27Nov 1
28°FOct 9Oct 15Oct 21Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 12
24°FOct 25Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6Nov 8Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 24
20°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6
16°FNov 18Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 5Dec 9Dec 14Dec 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Cairo 3 NW, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12413 →Compare Cairo with another place →

Weather by month in Cairo

July is the warmest month at Cairo 3 NW, NY, averaging 84°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 42% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,720 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 69% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (876) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 683.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cairo 3 NW, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3316100%291
Feb3717100%260
Mar4525100%2510
Apr593699%1273
May714742%1277
Jun79560%0515
Jul84600%0683
Aug82590%0635
Sep75518%1391
Oct624089%8118
Nov5031100%1816
Dec3923100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cairo 3 NW, NY (490 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hudson Correctional Facility, NY, 12 miles east of Cairo and 460 feet lower, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 25), a first frost 4 days later (October 18), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 12534 (Hudson) →

When it snows in Cairo, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Cairo usually arrives around November 30, and the last of the season around March 29. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Cairo 3 NW, NY, 1.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 31 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12413

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Cairo, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 18 – March 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 4 – March 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 1 – April 15Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 29 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 22Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 30Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 14 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12413 is 1 mile from Cairo 3 NW, NY, which stands at 490 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12413 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6a places in New York