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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 12529 — Hillsdale, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Copake, NY (550 ft), 6 miles south.

Updated

In Hillsdale, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 4 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 11, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, Copake, NY).

Last spring frost
May 4

50% probability

First fall frost
October 11

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 26

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 26

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
49.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hillsdale

Half of springs at Copake, NY see their last 32°F night by May 4; only one in ten is past it by April 22, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 10 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 14 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 11 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 24; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 7, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, shorter than at 53% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 180 days one year in ten and falls short of 142 one year in ten. On average 157 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 16, and return around October 2. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 28 and March 20.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 2May 5May 9May 13May 16May 18May 21May 24May 28
32°FApr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 7May 10May 14May 19
28°FApr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 24Apr 28May 2May 7
24°FMar 25Mar 31Apr 3Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 22
20°FMar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 8
16°FMar 5Mar 11Mar 15Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 14
32°FOct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 27
28°FOct 8Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3Nov 7
24°FOct 20Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 20
20°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28Dec 2
16°FNov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 15

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Copake, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12529 →Compare Hillsdale with another place →

Weather by month in Hillsdale

July is the warmest month at Copake, NY, averaging 83°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 34°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 63% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,577 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 58% of the 173 New York stations. 31% of them (811) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 663. Precipitation totals 43.5 inches a year, most in May (4.6") and least in February (2.3"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Copake, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan34143.1100%291
Feb37152.3100%270
Mar45233.3100%269
Apr59343.3100%1565
May70454.663%3246
Jun78554.30%0491
Jul83603.80%0663
Aug81593.80%0614
Sep73514.59%1367
Oct60404.294%10103
Nov50302.9100%2018
Dec39213.4100%271

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Copake, NY (550 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hudson Correctional Facility, NY, 13 miles west of Hillsdale and 520 feet lower, has a last frost 9 days earlier (April 25), a first frost 7 days later (October 18), a season 16 days longer.

Frost dates for 12534 (Hudson) →

When it snows in Hillsdale, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Hillsdale usually arrives around November 26, and the last of the season around March 26. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Copake, NY, 6.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12529

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hillsdale, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 23 – March 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 9 – March 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 6 – April 20Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 4 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12529 is 6 miles from Copake, NY, which stands at 550 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 12567 (Pine Plains). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12529 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in New York