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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 12533 — Hopewell Junction, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Stormville, NY (915 ft), 4 miles southeast.

Updated

In Hopewell Junction, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 21 in half of years and has passed by May 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 25, as early as October 8 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 185 days (NOAA, Stormville, NY).

Last spring frost
April 21

50% probability

First fall frost
October 25

50% probability

Growing season
185 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 22

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 6

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
57.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hopewell Junction

Half of springs at Stormville, NY see their last 32°F night by April 21; only one in ten is past it by April 9, and one in ten still has one after May 4. Planting tender crops after April 26 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 30 20%, and after May 4 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 83% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 25 in half of years, as early as October 8 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 21, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 185 days in a typical year, longer than at 81% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 203 days one year in ten and falls short of 164 one year in ten. On average 132 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 2, and return around October 11. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 13.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11May 15
32°FApr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 4
28°FMar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21
24°FMar 18Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9
20°FMar 8Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3
16°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 8Mar 11Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 28
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25
32°FOct 8Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 23Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 18
24°FNov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 24Nov 30
20°FNov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11
16°FNov 19Nov 25Nov 29Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 12Dec 17Dec 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Stormville, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12533 →Compare Hopewell Junction with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Hopewell Junction

Frost curve for Hopewell Junction, New York (Stormville, NY, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 9 to 50% on April 21 and 10% on May 4; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 8 to 50% on October 25 and 90% on November 5.

In Hopewell Junction, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 4 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 8, 157 days later; that gap is longer than at 82% of the 173 New York stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 25 days (April 9 to May 4) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 28 days (October 8 to November 5): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Poughkeepsie Dutchess Co Airport, NY, 6 miles northwest, the same gap runs from May 14 to October 1, 17 days shorter.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Hopewell Junction
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 7over 90%55%
Apr 1475%30%
Apr 2150% date50%under 10%
Apr 2825%under 10%
May 5under 10%under 10%
May 12under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Hopewell Junction

July is the warmest month at Stormville, NY, averaging 83°F by day and 63°F at night; January is the coldest at 35°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,951 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 82% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (953) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 714. Precipitation totals 49.0 inches a year, most in September (5.1") and least in February (3.4"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stormville, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan35173.7100%281
Feb39193.4100%261
Mar49274.0100%2413
Apr61383.899%9100
May72493.619%<1317
Jun77584.50%0522
Jul83634.40%0714
Aug82623.80%0679
Sep74555.11%<1433
Oct63434.776%3147
Nov50323.9100%1623
Dec39244.1100%262

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stormville, NY (915 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Poughkeepsie Dutchess Co Airport, NY, 6 miles northwest of Hopewell Junction and 749 feet lower, has a last frost 9 days later (April 30), a first frost 11 days earlier (October 14), a season 17 days shorter.

Frost dates for 12603 (Poughkeepsie) →

When it snows in Hopewell Junction, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Hopewell Junction usually arrives around November 22, and the last of the season around April 6. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Stormville, NY, 4.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 15 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12533

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hopewell Junction, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 10 – February 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 24 – March 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 24 – April 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 2Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 11Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 25 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12533 is 4 miles from Stormville, NY, which stands at 915 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12533 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in New York