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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 13101 — Mc Graw, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tully Heiberg Forest, NY (1,899 ft), 12 miles north.

Updated

In Mc Graw, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 12 in half of years and has passed by May 28 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 22 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 147 days (NOAA, Tully Heiberg Forest, NY).

Last spring frost
May 12

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
147 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
October 29

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
117.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mc Graw

Half of springs at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY see their last 32°F night by May 12; only one in ten is past it by April 29, and one in ten still has one after May 28. Planting tender crops after May 18 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 22 20%, and after May 28 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 22 one year in ten, and holds off past October 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 18; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 17, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 147 days in a typical year, shorter than at 77% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 167 days one year in ten and falls short of 124 one year in ten. On average 164 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 25, and return around September 25. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and April 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 9May 14May 18May 22May 25May 28May 31Jun 3Jun 8
32°FApr 29May 3May 6May 9May 12May 15May 18May 22May 28
28°FApr 17Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 7May 11May 17
24°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 4
20°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22
16°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7
32°FSep 22Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 16Oct 23
28°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 18Oct 22Oct 27Oct 31Nov 4
24°FOct 12Oct 21Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 15
20°FOct 31Nov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28
16°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 25Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 13101 →Compare Mc Graw with another place →

Weather by month in Mc Graw

July is the warmest month at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY, averaging 77°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 29°F and 11°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 84% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,962 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 95% of the 173 New York stations. 30% of them (596) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 525. Precipitation totals 48.7 inches a year, most in June (5.1") and least in January (2.9"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan29112.9100%291
Feb31122.9100%270
Mar39203.7100%274
Apr52314.2100%1739
May65433.684%4178
Jun73525.13%0374
Jul77574.60%0525
Aug76554.80%0488
Sep69484.931%1269
Oct57384.596%1072
Nov45283.9100%2111
Dec34183.6100%291

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY (1,899 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ithaca 13 E, NY, 14 miles southwest of Mc Graw and 671 feet lower, has a last frost 1 day later (May 13), a first frost 1 day earlier (October 4), a season 2 days shorter.

Frost dates for 13053 (Dryden) →

When it snows in Mc Graw, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mc Graw usually arrives around October 29, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY, 11.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 29 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 13101

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mc Graw, New York
WhenWhat to do
March 3 – March 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 17 – March 31Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 14 – April 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 12 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 13101 is 12 miles from Tully Heiberg Forest, NY, which stands at 1,899 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 13077 (Homer). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 13101 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in New York