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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 13339 — Fort Plain, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY (1,360 ft), 10 miles southwest.

Updated

In Fort Plain, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 6 in half of years and has passed by May 24 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 152 days (NOAA, Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY).

Last spring frost
May 6

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
152 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 5

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fort Plain

Half of springs at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY see their last 32°F night by May 6; only one in ten is past it by April 23, and one in ten still has one after May 24. Planting tender crops after May 12 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 18 20%, and after May 24 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 96% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 24 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 10, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 152 days in a typical year, shorter than at 69% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 172 days one year in ten and falls short of 133 one year in ten. On average 154 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about May 20, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 23 and March 29.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 3May 9May 12May 17May 20May 24May 27May 31Jun 4
32°FApr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 18May 24
28°FApr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 5May 10
24°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22Apr 26
20°FMar 22Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 16
16°FMar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 12Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 9
32°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Oct 15Oct 20
28°FOct 3Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 22Oct 26Oct 30Nov 4
24°FOct 16Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16
20°FOct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 15Nov 18Nov 24Nov 29
16°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 13339 →Compare Fort Plain with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Fort Plain

Frost curve for Fort Plain, New York (Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 23 to 50% on May 6 and 10% on May 24; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 24 to 50% on October 6 and 90% on October 20.

In Fort Plain, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 24 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 24, 123 days later; that gap is shorter than at 73% of the 173 New York stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 31 days (April 23 to May 24) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 26 days (September 24 to October 20): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Little Falls City Rsch, NY, 14 miles northwest, the same gap runs from May 20 to September 21, 1 day longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Fort Plain
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 22over 90%63%
Apr 2973%37%
May 650% date50%18%
May 1328%under 10%
May 2017%under 10%
May 27under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Fort Plain

July is the warmest month at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY, averaging 78°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 28°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 67% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,117 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 82% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (670) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 555.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2813100%291
Feb3114100%270
Mar4022100%263
Apr5433100%1546
May664567%2205
Jun74541%0415
Jul78580%0555
Aug76560%0504
Sep695025%1297
Oct583999%979
Nov4529100%1812
Dec3420100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY (1,360 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Little Falls City Rsch, NY, 14 miles northwest of Fort Plain and 467 feet lower, has a last frost 1 day earlier (May 5), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 4), a season 1 day shorter.

Frost dates for 13357 (Ilion) →

When it snows in Fort Plain, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Fort Plain usually arrives around November 5, and the last of the season around April 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY, 9.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 19 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 13339

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fort Plain, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 25 – March 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 11 – March 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 8 – April 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 13339 is 10 miles from Cherry Valley 2 NNE, NY, which stands at 1,360 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 13339 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in New York