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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 13699 — Potsdam, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Canton 4 SE, NY (448 ft), 6 miles north.

Updated

In Potsdam, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 9 in half of years and has passed by May 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 30, as early as September 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 142 days (NOAA, Canton 4 SE, NY).

Last spring frost
May 9

50% probability

First fall frost
September 30

50% probability

Growing season
142 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
November 18

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 8

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

25 of 25 observed

Snow per year
77.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Potsdam

Half of springs at Canton 4 SE, NY see their last 32°F night by May 9; only one in ten is past it by April 27, and one in ten still has one after May 25. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 19 20%, and after May 25 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 30 in half of years, as early as September 16 one year in ten, and holds off past October 14 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 11; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 14, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 142 days in a typical year, shorter than at 88% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 163 days one year in ten and falls short of 121 one year in ten. On average 161 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 22, and return around September 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 17 and March 31.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 7May 12May 16May 19May 22May 26May 30Jun 2Jun 7
32°FApr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 16May 19May 25
28°FApr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 14
24°FApr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 1
20°FMar 26Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19
16°FMar 17Mar 22Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 12
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 2Sep 6Sep 11Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 3
32°FSep 16Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 14
28°FSep 25Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Oct 23Oct 31
24°FOct 6Oct 11Oct 16Oct 20Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
20°FOct 20Oct 26Oct 31Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 21
16°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Canton 4 SE, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 13699 →Compare Potsdam with another place →

Weather by month in Potsdam

July is the warmest month at Canton 4 SE, NY, averaging 80°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 27°F and 7°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 80% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,278 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 65% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (725) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 601. Precipitation totals 38.2 inches a year, most in October (4.9") and least in February (2.0"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Canton 4 SE, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2772.2100%301
Feb3082.0100%270
Mar39192.3100%276
Apr53333.1100%1645
May67453.280%3225
Jun75553.82%0448
Jul80593.90%0601
Aug78573.40%0538
Sep71493.950%1310
Oct58384.999%988
Nov45282.9100%2114
Dec34162.6100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Canton 4 SE, NY (448 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Colton 2 N, NY, 8 miles northeast of Potsdam, has a last frost 4 days earlier (May 5), a first frost 8 days later (October 8), a season 14 days longer.

Frost dates for 13676 (Potsdam) →

When it snows in Potsdam, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Potsdam usually arrives around November 18, and the last of the season around April 8. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Canton 4 SE, NY, 5.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 31 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 13699

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Potsdam, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 28 – March 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 14 – March 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 11 – April 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 13699 is 6 miles from Canton 4 SE, NY, which stands at 448 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 13617 (Canton). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 13699 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4b places in New York