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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 14058 — Elba, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Batavia, NY (913 ft), 4 miles south.

Updated

In Elba, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 3 in half of years and has passed by May 18 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 16, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 165 days (NOAA, Batavia, NY).

Last spring frost
May 3

50% probability

First fall frost
October 16

50% probability

Growing season
165 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 19

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 3

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

28 of 28 observed

Snow per year
73.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elba

Half of springs at Batavia, NY see their last 32°F night by May 3; only one in ten is past it by April 21, and one in ten still has one after May 18. Planting tender crops after May 8 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 12 20%, and after May 18 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 16 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past October 29 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 8, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 165 days in a typical year, longer than at 58% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 185 days one year in ten and falls short of 145 one year in ten. On average 131 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 8 days longer, to about May 11, and return around October 4. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 1 and March 23.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 28May 2May 5May 7May 11May 14May 17May 21May 25
32°FApr 21Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 5May 8May 12May 18
28°FApr 7Apr 14Apr 18Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 8
24°FMar 30Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 28
20°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 12Apr 17
16°FMar 9Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 22Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 19
32°FOct 1Oct 6Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29
28°FOct 12Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 12
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 27
20°FNov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 7
16°FNov 14Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 6Dec 11Dec 17

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Batavia, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14058 →Compare Elba with another place →

Weather by month in Elba

July is the warmest month at Batavia, NY, averaging 80°F by day and 61°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 58% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,571 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 56% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (826) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 631. Precipitation totals 36.6 inches a year, most in June (3.7") and least in February (1.9"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Batavia, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan31162.5100%281
Feb33171.9100%261
Mar42242.4100%2314
Apr56353.2100%1166
May68473.258%1258
Jun76563.70%0488
Jul80613.50%0631
Aug79593.30%0586
Sep72523.67%<1377
Oct60423.693%3126
Nov48322.9100%1524
Dec36222.8100%252

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Batavia, NY (913 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Albion, NY, 12 miles north of Elba and 441 feet lower, has a last frost 2 days earlier (May 1), a first frost 4 days later (October 20), a season 5 days longer.

Frost dates for 14411 (Albion) →

When it snows in Elba, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Elba usually arrives around November 19, and the last of the season around April 3. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Batavia, NY, 4.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 30 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14058

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elba, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 22 – March 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 8 – March 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 5 – April 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 3 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 24Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14058 is 4 miles from Batavia, NY, which stands at 913 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 14020 (Batavia). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14058 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in New York