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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 14150 — Tonawanda, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from N Tonawanda, NY (578 ft), 4 miles north.

Updated

In Tonawanda, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 6 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 15, as early as September 30 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, N Tonawanda, NY).

Last spring frost
May 6

50% probability

First fall frost
October 15

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 11

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
79.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tonawanda

Half of springs at N Tonawanda, NY see their last 32°F night by May 6; only one in ten is past it by April 24, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 83% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 15 in half of years, as early as September 30 one year in ten, and holds off past October 30 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 10, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, shorter than at 53% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 181 days one year in ten and falls short of 141 one year in ten. On average 133 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 15, and return around October 2. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 30 and March 23.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 2May 7May 10May 13May 15May 18May 21May 24May 27
32°FApr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 15May 19
28°FApr 12Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 5May 10
24°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 28
20°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 16
16°FMar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 20Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16
32°FSep 30Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 24Oct 30
28°FOct 12Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10
24°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23
20°FNov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5
16°FNov 16Nov 19Nov 24Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 12Dec 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at N Tonawanda, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14150 →Compare Tonawanda with another place →

Weather by month in Tonawanda

July is the warmest month at N Tonawanda, NY, averaging 83°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 67% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,582 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 58% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (823) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 649. Precipitation totals 40.1 inches a year, most in September (3.9") and least in February (2.4"); May to September bring 43% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at N Tonawanda, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan33173.2100%271
Feb36172.4100%261
Mar44242.9100%2410
Apr57343.6100%1250
May70453.467%1253
Jun79553.30%0507
Jul83593.50%0649
Aug82583.10%0609
Sep74503.911%0373
Oct61403.990%3112
Nov49313.5100%1515
Dec38233.4100%251

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at N Tonawanda, NY (578 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Buffalo, NY, 7 miles southeast of Tonawanda, has a last frost 12 days earlier (April 24), a first frost 11 days later (October 26), a season 23 days longer.

Frost dates for 14221 (Williamsville) →

When it snows in Tonawanda, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tonawanda usually arrives around November 11, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at N Tonawanda, NY, 3.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 23 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14150

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tonawanda, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 25 – March 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 11 – March 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 8 – April 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 1Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 15 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14150 is 4 miles from N Tonawanda, NY, which stands at 578 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 14120 (North Tonawanda). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14150 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in New York