Frost Dates for 14569 — Warsaw, New York

Half of springs at Warsaw 6 SW, NY see their last 32°F night by May 7; only one in ten is past it by April 24, and one in ten still has one after May 22. Planting tender crops after May 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 18 20%, and after May 22 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 10 in half of years, as early as September 27 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around October 27; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 14, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, shorter than at 61% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 177 days one year in ten and falls short of 135 one year in ten. On average 157 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 18, and return around September 30. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 25 and March 31.

July is the warmest month at Warsaw 6 SW, NY, averaging 76°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 28°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 72% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,042 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 89% of the 173 New York stations. 31% of them (642) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 530. Precipitation totals 45.2 inches a year, most in July (4.4") and least in February (2.7"); May to September bring 46% of it.

The nearest other station, Wyoming 3W, NY, 6 miles north of Warsaw and 261 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days earlier (May 4), a first frost 7 days later (October 17), a season 8 days longer.

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Warsaw usually arrives around November 4, and the last of the season around April 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Warsaw 6 SW, NY, 4.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 20 days after the last snow.

ZIP 14569 is 5 miles from Warsaw 6 SW, NY, which stands at 1,820 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14569 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.