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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 14716 — Brocton, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Portland1 SW, NY (808 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Brocton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 25 in half of years and has passed by May 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 31, as early as October 15 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 187 days (NOAA, Portland1 SW, NY).

Last spring frost
April 25

50% probability

First fall frost
October 31

50% probability

Growing season
187 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 24

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 24

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
75.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Brocton

Half of springs at Portland1 SW, NY see their last 32°F night by April 25; only one in ten is past it by April 12, and one in ten still has one after May 12. Planting tender crops after May 2 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 6 20%, and after May 12 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 31 in half of years, as early as October 15 one year in ten, and holds off past November 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 12; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 29, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 187 days in a typical year, longer than at 82% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 209 days one year in ten and falls short of 165 one year in ten. On average 111 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 5, and return around October 17. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 12 and March 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 9May 13May 17May 22
32°FApr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 2May 6May 12
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 29
24°FMar 18Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 16
20°FMar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 29Mar 31Apr 4
16°FMar 1Mar 7Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 19Mar 22Mar 25Mar 29
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 2Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Nov 1
32°FOct 15Oct 20Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 15
28°FOct 29Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28
24°FNov 8Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9
20°FNov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 14Dec 20
16°FNov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 8Dec 12Dec 17Dec 20Dec 24Jan 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Portland1 SW, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14716 →Compare Brocton with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Fredonia, NY, 8 miles northeast of Brocton, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day later (November 1), a season 2 days shorter.

Frost dates for 14063 (Fredonia) →

When it snows in Brocton, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Brocton usually arrives around November 24, and the last of the season around March 24. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Fredonia, NY, 7.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 32 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14716

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Brocton, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 14 – February 28Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 28 – March 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 28 – April 11Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 25 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 31 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14716 is 3 miles from Portland1 SW, NY, which stands at 808 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14716 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6b places in New York