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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 14883 — Spencer, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Spencer 1 NE, NY (1,170 ft), 2 miles southeast.

Updated

In Spencer, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 12 in half of years and has passed by May 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 3, as early as September 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 143 days (NOAA, Spencer 1 NE, NY).

Last spring frost
May 12

50% probability

First fall frost
October 3

50% probability

Growing season
143 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 14

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 7

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
64.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Spencer

Half of springs at Spencer 1 NE, NY see their last 32°F night by May 12; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 27. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 22 20%, and after May 27 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 3 in half of years, as early as September 21 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 16, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 143 days in a typical year, shorter than at 87% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 162 days one year in ten and falls short of 124 one year in ten. On average 168 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 24, and return around September 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 24 and March 30.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 9May 14May 19May 22May 24May 27May 31Jun 3Jun 7
32°FApr 28May 1May 6May 9May 12May 15May 19May 22May 27
28°FApr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 8May 11May 16
24°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 6
20°FMar 25Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17
16°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 24Mar 28Mar 30Apr 1Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 11Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4
32°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 13Oct 19
28°FOct 1Oct 4Oct 8Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Oct 29Nov 3
24°FOct 12Oct 19Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 2Nov 6Nov 8Nov 13
20°FNov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26
16°FNov 9Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Spencer 1 NE, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14883 →Compare Spencer with another place →

Weather by month in Spencer

July is the warmest month at Spencer 1 NE, NY, averaging 80°F by day and 56°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 82% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,072 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 86% of the 173 New York stations. 30% of them (622) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 547.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Spencer 1 NE, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3114100%290
Feb3414100%270
Mar4221100%274
Apr5531100%1839
May684282%6184
Jun76512%<1396
Jul80560%0547
Aug80540%0527
Sep724737%1295
Oct593798%1371
Nov4729100%199
Dec3620100%282

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Spencer 1 NE, NY (1,170 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ithaca Cornell Univ, NY, 15 miles north of Spencer and 210 feet lower, has a last frost 1 day earlier (May 11), the same first-frost date, a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 14850 (Ithaca) →

When it snows in Spencer, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Spencer usually arrives around November 14, and the last of the season around April 7. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Candor 2SE, NY, 9.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 35 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14883

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Spencer, New York
WhenWhat to do
March 3 – March 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 17 – March 31Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 14 – April 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 12 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 11Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 19Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 3 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14883 is 2 miles from Spencer 1 NE, NY, which stands at 1,170 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14883 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in New York