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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 14905 — Elmira, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Elmira, NY (947 ft), under a mile north.

Updated

In Elmira, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 6 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 11, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 158 days (NOAA, Elmira, NY).

Last spring frost
May 6

50% probability

First fall frost
October 11

50% probability

Growing season
158 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 24

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 30

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
41.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elmira

Half of springs at Elmira, NY see their last 32°F night by May 6; only one in ten is past it by April 24, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 11 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 25; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 9, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 158 days in a typical year, shorter than at 56% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 178 days one year in ten and falls short of 139 one year in ten. On average 151 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 18, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 30 and March 24.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 3May 7May 11May 14May 18May 21May 24May 26May 31
32°FApr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 15May 21
28°FApr 12Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 4May 9
24°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 26
20°FMar 18Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 16
16°FMar 9Mar 15Mar 17Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 5Oct 7Oct 14
32°FSep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 27
28°FOct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7
24°FOct 23Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 11Nov 15Nov 20
20°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 18Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 3
16°FNov 14Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 11Dec 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Elmira, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14905 →Compare Elmira with another place →

Weather by month in Elmira

July is the warmest month at Elmira, NY, averaging 84°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 34°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 67% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,589 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 59% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (837) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 651. Precipitation totals 38.1 inches a year, most in June (4.2") and least in February (1.9"); May to September bring 51% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elmira, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan34162.1100%281
Feb36171.9100%261
Mar45232.7100%259
Apr59333.3100%1565
May71443.167%2264
Jun79544.20%0497
Jul84584.10%0651
Aug82573.80%0604
Sep75504.112%<1370
Oct62393.595%8109
Nov49302.7100%1916
Dec39232.6100%262

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elmira, NY (947 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Elmira Corning Regional Airport, NY, 6 miles northwest of Elmira, has a last frost 3 days later (May 9), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 9), a season 7 days shorter.

Frost dates for 14845 (Horseheads) →

When it snows in Elmira, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Elmira usually arrives around November 24, and the last of the season around March 30. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Elmira, NY, 0.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 37 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14905

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elmira, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 25 – March 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 11 – March 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 8 – April 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14905 is under a mile from Elmira, NY, which stands at 947 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 6 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 14901 (Elmira). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14905 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in New York