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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 16327 — Guys Mills, Pennsylvania

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Titusville Wtr Wks, PA (1,220 ft), 13 miles east.

Updated

In Guys Mills, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 12 in half of years and has passed by May 28 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 10, as early as September 25 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 149 days (NOAA, Titusville Wtr Wks, PA).

Last spring frost
May 12

50% probability

First fall frost
October 10

50% probability

Growing season
149 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 8

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 5

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
89.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Guys Mills

Half of springs at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA see their last 32°F night by May 12; only one in ten is past it by April 29, and one in ten still has one after May 28. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 23 20%, and after May 28 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 10 in half of years, as early as September 25 one year in ten, and holds off past October 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 149 days in a typical year, shorter than at 88% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations; it reaches 169 days one year in ten and falls short of 126 one year in ten. On average 161 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 25, and return around September 29. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 25 and March 30.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 10May 15May 19May 22May 25May 28May 31Jun 2Jun 7
32°FApr 29May 2May 6May 9May 12May 16May 19May 23May 28
28°FApr 17Apr 22Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 12May 19
24°FApr 6Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 6
20°FMar 25Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22
16°FMar 14Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 14Sep 20Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11
32°FSep 25Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 23
28°FOct 4Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 5
24°FOct 18Oct 23Oct 28Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 17
20°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 29
16°FNov 8Nov 14Nov 18Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 16327 →Compare Guys Mills with another place →

Weather by month in Guys Mills

July is the warmest month at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA, averaging 81°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 15°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 85% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,326 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 86% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations. 33% of them (759) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 584. Precipitation totals 46.4 inches a year, most in June (4.9") and least in February (2.7"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan33153.5100%292
Feb35142.7100%261
Mar44223.5100%2610
Apr58334.2100%1662
May69434.185%4235
Jun77534.95%0450
Jul81574.30%0584
Aug80553.60%0536
Sep73494.119%1338
Oct61384.297%1094
Nov48293.6100%2113
Dec37213.7100%282

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA (1,220 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Port Meadville Airport, PA, 14 miles west of Guys Mills and 180 feet higher, has a last frost 12 days earlier (April 30), a first frost 13 days later (October 23), a season 26 days longer.

Frost dates for 16335 (Meadville) →

When it snows in Guys Mills, Pennsylvania

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Guys Mills usually arrives around November 8, and the last of the season around April 5. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Titusville Wtr Wks, PA, 13.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 37 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 16327

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Guys Mills, Pennsylvania
WhenWhat to do
March 3 – March 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 17 – March 31Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 14 – April 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 12 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 16327 is 13 miles from Titusville Wtr Wks, PA, which stands at 1,220 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 16354 (Titusville). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 16327 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Pennsylvania →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Pennsylvania