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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 17345 — Manchester, Pennsylvania

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA (312 ft), 9 miles north.

Updated

In Manchester, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 9 in half of years and has passed by April 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 2, as early as October 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 206 days (NOAA, Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA).

Last spring frost
April 9

50% probability

First fall frost
November 2

50% probability

Growing season
206 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
January 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 9

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

25 of 25 observed

Snow per year
23.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Manchester

Half of springs at Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA see their last 32°F night by April 9; only one in ten is past it by March 28, and one in ten still has one after April 25. Planting tender crops after April 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 18 20%, and after April 25 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 2 in half of years, as early as October 18 one year in ten, and holds off past November 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 14; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 9, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 206 days in a typical year, longer than at 94% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations; it reaches 224 days one year in ten and falls short of 185 one year in ten. On average 101 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 23, and return around October 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 26 and February 25.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 9Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 25Apr 28May 2May 7
32°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 25
28°FMar 14Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 9
24°FMar 2Mar 8Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31
20°FFeb 19Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 8Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21
16°FFeb 1Feb 10Feb 15Feb 21Feb 25Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 9Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 4
32°FOct 18Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 15
28°FOct 31Nov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 29
24°FNov 10Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Dec 1Dec 3Dec 7Dec 13
20°FNov 24Nov 30Dec 3Dec 7Dec 10Dec 15Dec 19Dec 24Dec 30
16°FDec 7Dec 13Dec 19Dec 22Dec 26Dec 30Jan 3Jan 10Jan 17

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 17345 →Compare Manchester with another place →

Weather by month in Manchester

July is the warmest month at Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA, averaging 87°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 39°F and 23°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 81% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,702 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 94% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations. 35% of them (1,281) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 846. Precipitation totals 44.2 inches a year, most in September (4.8") and least in February (2.6"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan39233.0100%262
Feb42252.6100%233
Mar51323.7100%1629
Apr64433.681%3153
May74533.85%0417
Jun82634.00%0677
Jul87684.70%0846
Aug85663.80%0783
Sep78584.80%0537
Oct66463.843%1210
Nov54363.0100%1140
Dec43283.4100%226

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA (312 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, York 3 SSW Pump Stn, PA, 10 miles south of Manchester, has a last frost 17 days later (April 26), a first frost 14 days earlier (October 19), a season 29 days shorter.

Frost dates for 17403 (York) →

When it snows in Manchester, Pennsylvania

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Manchester usually arrives around January 7, and the last of the season around March 9. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at York Haven, PA, 3.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 31 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 17345

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Manchester, Pennsylvania
WhenWhat to do
January 29 – February 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 12 – February 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 12 – March 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 10Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 19Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 2 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 17345 is 9 miles from Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, PA, which stands at 312 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 9 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 17022 (Elizabethtown). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 17345 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Pennsylvania →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in Pennsylvania