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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 17844 — Mifflinburg, Pennsylvania

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Laurelton Ctr, PA (800 ft), 9 miles west.

Updated

In Mifflinburg, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 25 in half of years and has passed by May 11 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 19, as early as October 4 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 175 days (NOAA, Laurelton Ctr, PA).

Last spring frost
April 25

50% probability

First fall frost
October 19

50% probability

Growing season
175 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

16 of 16 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mifflinburg

Half of springs at Laurelton Ctr, PA see their last 32°F night by April 25; only one in ten is past it by April 12, and one in ten still has one after May 11. Planting tender crops after May 1 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 5 20%, and after May 11 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 19 in half of years, as early as October 4 one year in ten, and holds off past November 2 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 2; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 28, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 175 days in a typical year, shorter than at 48% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations; it reaches 196 days one year in ten and falls short of 157 one year in ten. On average 142 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 5, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 9 and March 11.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 12May 16May 21
32°FApr 12Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 5May 11
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 28
24°FMar 17Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 9Apr 14
20°FMar 5Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1
16°FFeb 22Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 19Mar 24
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 21
32°FOct 4Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 2
28°FOct 16Oct 22Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 16
24°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 28
20°FNov 9Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 6Dec 14
16°FNov 22Nov 28Dec 2Dec 5Dec 9Dec 15Dec 20Dec 25Jan 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Laurelton Ctr, PA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 17844 →Compare Mifflinburg with another place →

Weather by month in Mifflinburg

July is the warmest month at Laurelton Ctr, PA, averaging 85°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 36°F and 21°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 31% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,160 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 66% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations. 35% of them (1,096) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 739.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Laurelton Ctr, PA
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3621100%292
Feb4122100%251
Mar5028100%2416
Apr643899%11123
May754931%2369
Jun81580%0585
Jul85620%0739
Aug84610%0688
Sep76544%<1448
Oct654284%7159
Nov5233100%1726
Dec4026100%273

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Laurelton Ctr, PA (800 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Lewisburg, PA, 9 miles east of Mifflinburg and 300 feet lower, has a last frost 1 day later (April 26), a first frost 1 day later (October 20), a season 1 day longer.

Frost dates for 17837 (Lewisburg) →

When it snows in Mifflinburg, Pennsylvania

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mifflinburg usually arrives around December 17, and the last of the season around March 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Laurelton Ctr, PA, 8.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 17844

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mifflinburg, Pennsylvania
WhenWhat to do
February 14 – February 28Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 28 – March 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 28 – April 11Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 25 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 27Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 5Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 19 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 17844 is 9 miles from Laurelton Ctr, PA, which stands at 800 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 17844 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Pennsylvania →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Pennsylvania