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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 20653 — Lexington Park, Maryland

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Patuxent River NAS, MD (39 ft), 5 miles north.

Updated

In Lexington Park, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 29 in half of years and has passed by April 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 15, as early as November 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 230 days (NOAA, Patuxent River NAS, MD).

Last spring frost
March 29

50% probability

First fall frost
November 15

50% probability

Growing season
230 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
December 25

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 6

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
92%

24 of 26 observed

Snow per year
15.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lexington Park

Half of springs at Patuxent River NAS, MD see their last 32°F night by March 29; only one in ten is past it by March 15, and one in ten still has one after April 10. Planting tender crops after April 3 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 5 20%, and after April 10 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 90% of the 50 Maryland stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 15 in half of years, as early as November 1 one year in ten, and holds off past December 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 1, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 230 days in a typical year, longer than at 92% of the 50 Maryland stations; it reaches 251 days one year in ten and falls short of 210 one year in ten. On average 68 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 9, and return around November 2. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 86%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24
32°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 10
28°FFeb 28Mar 7Mar 12Mar 15Mar 18Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1
24°FFeb 14Feb 22Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 9Mar 13Mar 17Mar 22
20°F99% of yrsJan 28Feb 3Feb 9Feb 14Feb 21Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 12
16°F86% of yrsJan 6Jan 18Jan 25Jan 31Feb 3Feb 8Feb 14Feb 23Mar 2
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 21Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 16
32°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1
28°FNov 10Nov 17Nov 21Nov 24Nov 29Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 18
24°FNov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 13Dec 18Dec 23Dec 28Jan 3
20°F99% of yrsDec 5Dec 12Dec 19Dec 24Dec 29Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 24
16°F86% of yrsDec 17Dec 27Jan 1Jan 4Jan 9Jan 15Jan 21Jan 27Feb 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Patuxent River NAS, MD, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 20653 →Compare Lexington Park with another place →

Weather by month in Lexington Park

July is the warmest month at Patuxent River NAS, MD, averaging 87°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 45°F and 30°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 40% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,401 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 88% of the 50 Maryland stations. 35% of them (1,558) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 902. Precipitation totals 45.4 inches a year, most in August (4.7") and least in February (2.8"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Patuxent River NAS, MD
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan45302.9100%2015
Feb48312.8100%1717
Mar55374.098%1064
Apr66473.740%1226
May75573.70%0495
Jun83664.30%0741
Jul87714.50%0902
Aug85694.70%0848
Sep79634.20%0638
Oct69524.07%<1328
Nov58413.185%598
Dec50343.599%1529

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Patuxent River NAS, MD (39 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Solomons, MD, 6 miles north of Lexington Park, has a last frost 7 days earlier (March 22), a first frost 11 days later (November 26), a season 18 days longer.

Frost dates for 20657 (Lusby) →

When it snows in Lexington Park, Maryland

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Lexington Park usually arrives around December 25, and the last of the season around March 6. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD, 23.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 92% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 23 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 20653

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lexington Park, Maryland
WhenWhat to do
January 18 – February 1Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 1 – February 15Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 1 – March 15Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 29 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 1Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 15 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 20653 is 5 miles from Patuxent River NAS, MD, which stands at 39 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 20653 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Maryland →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Maryland