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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 20678 — Prince Frederick, Maryland

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD (100 ft), 8 miles west.

Updated

In Prince Frederick, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 17 in half of years and has passed by May 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 27, as early as October 12 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 195 days (NOAA, Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD).

Last spring frost
April 17

50% probability

First fall frost
October 27

50% probability

Growing season
195 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
December 25

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 6

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
92%

24 of 26 observed

Snow per year
15.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Prince Frederick

Half of springs at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD see their last 32°F night by April 17; only one in ten is past it by March 31, and one in ten still has one after May 2. Planting tender crops after April 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 27 20%, and after May 2 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 52% of the 50 Maryland stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 27 in half of years, as early as October 12 one year in ten, and holds off past November 9 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 6; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 17, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 195 days in a typical year, shorter than at 68% of the 50 Maryland stations; it reaches 215 days one year in ten and falls short of 173 one year in ten. On average 98 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 30, and return around October 16. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 99% of winters, usually between December 20 and February 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 15Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 10May 15
32°FMar 31Apr 5Apr 9Apr 13Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22Apr 27May 2
28°FMar 19Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 17
24°FMar 2Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 4
20°FFeb 19Feb 25Mar 2Mar 5Mar 9Mar 11Mar 16Mar 20Mar 25
16°F99% of yrsFeb 1Feb 8Feb 14Feb 21Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 16
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 3Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 31
32°FOct 12Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
28°FOct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 23
24°FNov 3Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8
20°FNov 14Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 3Dec 7Dec 13Dec 21Dec 29
16°F99% of yrsNov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 15Dec 20Dec 26Dec 30Jan 5Jan 14

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 20678 →Compare Prince Frederick with another place →

Weather by month in Prince Frederick

July is the warmest month at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD, averaging 85°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 44°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 88% of years and May still brings one in 12% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,649 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 66% of the 50 Maryland stations. 36% of them (1,308) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 793. Precipitation totals 48.1 inches a year, most in September (4.9") and least in February (3.0"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan44253.3100%2410
Feb48263.0100%2111
Mar56334.2100%1655
Apr67433.388%4195
May74524.312%0400
Jun82614.20%0636
Jul85664.60%0793
Aug83644.80%0736
Sep77584.90%0516
Oct66464.264%1213
Nov57363.3100%1264
Dec48294.0100%2118

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD (100 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Solomons, MD, 17 miles southeast of Prince Frederick, has a last frost 26 days earlier (March 22), a first frost 30 days later (November 26), a season 53 days longer.

Frost dates for 20657 (Lusby) →

When it snows in Prince Frederick, Maryland

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Prince Frederick usually arrives around December 25, and the last of the season around March 6. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD, 8.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 92% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 42 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 20678

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Prince Frederick, Maryland
WhenWhat to do
February 6 – February 20Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 20 – March 6Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 20 – April 3Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 17 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 4Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 13Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 27 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 20678 is 8 miles from Mechanicsville 5 NE, MD, which stands at 100 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 11 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 20602 (Waldorf). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 20678 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Maryland →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in Maryland