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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 21015 — Bel Air, Maryland

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD (57 ft), 9 miles southeast.

Updated

In Bel Air, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 10 in half of years and has passed by April 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 201 days (NOAA, Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD).

Last spring frost
April 10

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
201 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
December 27

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 26

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
93%

28 of 30 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Bel Air

Half of springs at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD see their last 32°F night by April 10; only one in ten is past it by March 27, and one in ten still has one after April 30. Planting tender crops after April 17 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 22 20%, and after April 30 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 88% of the 50 Maryland stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 14 one year in ten, and holds off past November 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 12, 18 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 201 days in a typical year, shorter than at 56% of the 50 Maryland stations; it reaches 221 days one year in ten and falls short of 178 one year in ten. On average 83 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about April 27, and return around October 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 99% of winters, usually between December 29 and February 23.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 9Apr 15Apr 19Apr 22Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 7May 12
32°FMar 27Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 22Apr 30
28°FMar 13Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 12
24°FFeb 28Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31
20°FFeb 14Feb 22Feb 27Mar 3Mar 7Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 23
16°F99% of yrsJan 31Feb 5Feb 10Feb 17Feb 23Feb 27Mar 3Mar 9Mar 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 5Oct 11Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1
32°FOct 14Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 12
28°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 27
24°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 13
20°FNov 18Nov 25Dec 1Dec 3Dec 8Dec 12Dec 17Dec 25Jan 2
16°F99% of yrsDec 4Dec 11Dec 17Dec 23Dec 29Jan 2Jan 7Jan 13Jan 21

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 21015 →Compare Bel Air with another place →

Weather by month in Bel Air

July is the warmest month at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD, averaging 86°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 42°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,767 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 58% of the 50 Maryland stations. 34% of them (1,295) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 838. Precipitation totals 47.2 inches a year, most in July (4.8") and least in February (2.8"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan42253.3100%215
Feb44272.8100%197
Mar53334.1100%1337
Apr65433.577%2174
May73534.09%0404
Jun82624.30%0667
Jul86684.80%0838
Aug84664.20%0778
Sep78594.80%0555
Oct67474.257%1234
Nov56373.3100%955
Dec46303.9100%1811

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD (57 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Conowingo Dam, MD, 11 miles northeast of Bel Air, has a last frost 7 days earlier (April 3), a first frost 7 days later (November 6), a season 16 days longer.

Frost dates for 21050 (Forest Hill) →

When it snows in Bel Air, Maryland

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Bel Air usually arrives around December 27, and the last of the season around February 26. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD, 8.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 93% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 43 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 21015

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Bel Air, Maryland
WhenWhat to do
January 30 – February 13Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 13 – February 27Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 13 – March 27Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 10 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 21015 is 9 miles from Aberdeen Phillips Field, MD, which stands at 57 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 12 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 21014 (Bel Air). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 21015 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Maryland →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in Maryland