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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 27959 — Nags Head, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Manteo Airport, NC (13 ft), 5 miles west.

Updated

In Nags Head, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 15 in half of years and has passed by March 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 6, as early as November 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 266 days (NOAA, Manteo Airport, NC).

Last spring frost
March 15

50% probability

First fall frost
December 6

50% probability

Growing season
266 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
40%

8 of 20 observed

Snow per year
1.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nags Head

Half of springs at Manteo Airport, NC see their last 32°F night by March 15; only one in ten is past it by February 23, and one in ten still has one after March 30. Planting tender crops after March 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 26 20%, and after March 30 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 6 in half of years, as early as November 19 one year in ten, and holds off past December 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 19 days later, around December 25; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 19, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 266 days in a typical year, longer than at 99% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 293 days one year in ten and falls short of 242 one year in ten. On average 28 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about March 28, and return around November 24. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 92% of winters and 16°F in 26%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 10Mar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6Apr 12
32°FFeb 23Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30
28°FFeb 2Feb 11Feb 19Feb 25Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 13Mar 19
24°F92% of yrsJan 14Jan 23Jan 30Feb 2Feb 8Feb 15Feb 20Feb 27Mar 5
20°F63% of yrsJan 2Jan 12Jan 17Jan 23Jan 28Jan 30Feb 3Feb 10Feb 19
16°F26% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 9Nov 13Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10
32°FNov 19Nov 24Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 10Dec 14Dec 20Dec 27
28°FDec 4Dec 10Dec 17Dec 21Dec 25Dec 29Jan 1Jan 6Jan 14
24°F92% of yrsDec 16Dec 23Dec 29Jan 2Jan 7Jan 11Jan 16Jan 22Feb 2
20°F63% of yrsDec 24Jan 1Jan 5Jan 11Jan 15Jan 19Jan 24Jan 29Feb 4
16°F26% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Manteo Airport, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27959 →Compare Nags Head with another place →

Weather by month in Nags Head

July is the warmest month at Manteo Airport, NC, averaging 86°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 51°F and 36°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 79% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,991 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 68% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 36% of them (1,786) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 918. Precipitation totals 46.5 inches a year, most in August (5.6") and least in April (2.9"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manteo Airport, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan51363.8100%1131
Feb53373.298%836
Mar59433.879%3113
Apr68512.97%<1301
May75603.50%0540
Jun82694.50%0766
Jul86735.30%0918
Aug84725.60%0876
Sep79694.50%0717
Oct71583.20%0460
Nov61482.931%1172
Dec55403.390%563

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manteo Airport, NC (13 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Columbia Ag Gum Neck, NC, 32 miles southwest of Nags Head, has a last frost 14 days later (March 29), a first frost 23 days earlier (November 13), a season 35 days shorter.

Frost dates for 27925 (Columbia) →

When it snows in Nags Head, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 8 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Manteo Airport, NC, 5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27959

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nags Head, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 4 – January 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 18 – February 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 15 – March 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27959 is 5 miles from Manteo Airport, NC, which stands at 13 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 27948 (Kill Devil Hills). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27959 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in North Carolina