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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 28730 — Fairview, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC (4,320 ft), 3 miles north.

Updated

In Fairview, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 22 in half of years and has passed by May 11 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 24, as early as October 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 184 days (NOAA, Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC).

Last spring frost
April 22

50% probability

First fall frost
October 24

50% probability

Growing season
184 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 16

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
28.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fairview

Half of springs at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC see their last 32°F night by April 22; only one in ten is past it by April 5, and one in ten still has one after May 11. Planting tender crops after April 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 4 20%, and after May 11 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 24 in half of years, as early as October 11 one year in ten, and holds off past November 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 27, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 184 days in a typical year, shorter than at 89% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 205 days one year in ten and falls short of 162 one year in ten. On average 102 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 5, and return around October 14. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 5 and March 10.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 17Apr 23Apr 28May 1May 5May 8May 11May 15May 21
32°FApr 5Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 30May 4May 11
28°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 27
24°FMar 11Mar 18Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9Apr 15
20°FMar 1Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Apr 1Apr 6
16°FFeb 13Feb 23Mar 1Mar 6Mar 10Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 30
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 29Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
32°FOct 11Oct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 6
28°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11Nov 16
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 24Dec 1
20°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 6Dec 13
16°FNov 14Nov 22Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 15Dec 23Jan 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 28730 →Compare Fairview with another place →

Weather by month in Fairview

July is the warmest month at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC, averaging 76°F by day and 61°F at night; January is the coldest at 41°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 27% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,621 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 96% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 37% of them (957) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 570. Precipitation totals 53.0 inches a year, most in September (5.2") and least in February (3.7"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan41254.6100%223
Feb44273.7100%196
Mar52334.7100%1642
Apr62424.694%7147
May69504.127%1308
Jun73574.40%0452
Jul76614.90%0570
Aug75604.60%0527
Sep70545.21%<1361
Oct61443.877%3156
Nov52344.199%1340
Dec44284.3100%2110

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC (4,320 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Black Mountain 2 W, NC, 6 miles north of Fairview and 2,030 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days earlier (April 19), a first frost 1 day earlier (October 23).

Frost dates for 28711 (Black Mountain) →

When it snows in Fairview, North Carolina

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Fairview usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around April 16. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC, 3.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 6 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 28730

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fairview, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
February 11 – February 25Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 25 – March 11Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 25 – April 8Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 22 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 28730 is 3 miles from Swannanoa 2 SSE, NC, which stands at 4,320 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 28778 (Swannanoa). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 28730 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in North Carolina