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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 30521 — Carnesville, Georgia

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Commerce 4 NNW, GA (820 ft), 14 miles southwest.

Updated

In Carnesville, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 31 in half of years and has passed by April 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 6, as early as October 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 222 days (NOAA, Commerce 4 NNW, GA).

Last spring frost
March 31

50% probability

First fall frost
November 6

50% probability

Growing season
222 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
42%

10 of 24 observed

Snow per year
0.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carnesville

Half of springs at Commerce 4 NNW, GA see their last 32°F night by March 31; only one in ten is past it by March 12, and one in ten still has one after April 14. Planting tender crops after April 4 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 8 20%, and after April 14 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 97% of the 127 Georgia stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 6 in half of years, as early as October 23 one year in ten, and holds off past November 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 19; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 1, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 222 days in a typical year, shorter than at 70% of the 127 Georgia stations; it reaches 247 days one year in ten and falls short of 200 one year in ten. On average 60 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 11, and return around October 27. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 77%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 28Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 28
32°FMar 12Mar 18Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 8Apr 14
28°FFeb 21Feb 28Mar 5Mar 11Mar 16Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Apr 1
24°FJan 31Feb 11Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 20
20°F98% of yrsJan 9Jan 20Jan 29Feb 2Feb 11Feb 18Feb 24Mar 2Mar 12
16°F77% of yrsDec 29Jan 7Jan 13Jan 20Jan 26Jan 31Feb 7Feb 16Mar 1
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 10
32°FOct 23Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 23
28°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28Dec 2Dec 9
24°FNov 13Nov 20Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 16Dec 24Jan 1
20°F98% of yrsNov 26Dec 4Dec 10Dec 16Dec 24Dec 29Jan 2Jan 9Jan 20
16°F77% of yrsDec 9Dec 18Dec 27Jan 1Jan 4Jan 10Jan 15Jan 22Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Commerce 4 NNW, GA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 30521 →Compare Carnesville with another place →

Weather by month in Carnesville

July is the warmest month at Commerce 4 NNW, GA, averaging 89°F by day and 69°F at night; January is the coldest at 53°F and 31°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 47% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,819 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 80% of the 127 Georgia stations. 39% of them (1,860) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 901. Precipitation totals 52.0 inches a year, most in December (5.0") and least in May (3.8"); May to September bring 40% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Commerce 4 NNW, GA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan53314.8100%1726
Feb56344.8100%1342
Mar65404.893%7146
Apr73474.147%1313
May80573.80%0563
Jun86654.70%0771
Jul89693.80%0901
Aug88684.50%0873
Sep83623.80%0667
Oct73493.831%1361
Nov64394.194%8119
Dec55335.0100%1538

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Commerce 4 NNW, GA (820 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Alto 4 SE, GA, 14 miles northwest of Carnesville, has a last frost 4 days later (April 4), a first frost 2 days earlier (November 4), a season 6 days shorter.

Frost dates for 30554 (Lula) →

When it snows in Carnesville, Georgia

Measurable snow is rare here: only 10 of 24 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Carnesville, GA, 3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 30521

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carnesville, Georgia
WhenWhat to do
January 20 – February 3Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 3 – February 17Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 3 – March 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 31 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 23Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 30521 is 14 miles from Commerce 4 NNW, GA, which stands at 820 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 6 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 30549 (Jefferson). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 30521 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Georgia →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Georgia