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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 32409 — Panama City, Florida

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Panama City 5N, FL (5 ft), 6 miles south.

Updated

In Panama City, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 15 in half of years and has passed by March 11 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 12, as early as November 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 301 days (NOAA, Panama City 5N, FL).

Last spring frost
February 15

50% probability

First fall frost
December 12

50% probability

Growing season
301 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 23 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Panama City

Half of springs at Panama City 5N, FL see their last 32°F night by February 15; only one in ten is past it by January 13, and one in ten still has one after March 11. Planting tender crops after February 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 3 20%, and after March 11 10%. The 24 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 101 Florida stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 12 in half of years, as early as November 16 one year in ten, and holds off past January 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 20 days later, around January 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 28, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 301 days in a typical year, shorter than at 50% of the 102 Florida stations; it reaches 335 days one year in ten and falls short of 263 one year in ten. On average 17 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about March 2, and return around November 25. A 24°F night is unusual: 49% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 9Feb 17Feb 22Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 12Mar 18Mar 24
32°F98% of yrsJan 13Jan 29Feb 4Feb 10Feb 15Feb 21Feb 28Mar 3Mar 11
28°F84% of yrsDec 30Jan 10Jan 19Jan 26Jan 31Feb 4Feb 9Feb 17Feb 28
24°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F14% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 7Dec 18
32°F98% of yrsNov 16Nov 25Dec 1Dec 5Dec 12Dec 19Dec 27Jan 3Jan 12
28°F84% of yrsDec 1Dec 8Dec 17Dec 25Jan 1Jan 4Jan 10Jan 19Feb 1
24°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F14% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Panama City 5N, FL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 32409 →Compare Panama City with another place →

Weather by month in Panama City

July is the warmest month at Panama City 5N, FL, averaging 91°F by day and 75°F at night; January is the coldest at 64°F and 43°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 64% of years and March still brings one in 26% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,249 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 73% of the 158 Florida stations. 42% of them (3,047) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,025. Precipitation totals 61.3 inches a year, most in July (7.4") and least in May (3.3"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Panama City 5N, FL
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan64434.883%8177
Feb67465.064%3215
Mar73525.026%1385
Apr79584.10%0548
May85663.30%0789
Jun89735.80%0933
Jul91757.40%01025
Aug91757.40%01017
Sep89717.00%0901
Oct82613.50%0673
Nov73503.726%1360
Dec67454.365%4227

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Panama City 5N, FL (5 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, NW Florida Beaches International Airport, FL, 8 miles west of Panama City, has a last frost 10 days later (February 25), a first frost 11 days earlier (December 1), a season 21 days shorter.

Frost dates for 32413 (Panama City Beach) →

When it snows in Panama City, Florida

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 23 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Panama City 5N, FL, 5.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 32409

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Panama City, Florida
WhenWhat to do
December 7 – December 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 21 – January 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 18 – February 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 28Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 12 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 32409 is 6 miles from Panama City 5N, FL, which stands at 5 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 32404 (Panama City). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 32409 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Florida →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Florida