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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 32431 — Cottondale, Florida

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Chipley, FL (130 ft), 9 miles west.

Updated

In Cottondale, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 5 in half of years and has passed by March 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 21, as early as November 4 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 263 days (NOAA, Chipley, FL).

Last spring frost
March 5

50% probability

First fall frost
November 21

50% probability

Growing season
263 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 23 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Cottondale

Half of springs at Chipley, FL see their last 32°F night by March 5; only one in ten is past it by February 7, and one in ten still has one after March 27. Planting tender crops after March 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 20 20%, and after March 27 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 66% of the 101 Florida stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 21 in half of years, as early as November 4 one year in ten, and holds off past December 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around December 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 14, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 263 days in a typical year, shorter than at 83% of the 102 Florida stations; it reaches 298 days one year in ten and falls short of 235 one year in ten. On average 31 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 16 days longer, to about March 21, and return around November 9. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 86% of winters and 16°F in 17%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 27Mar 7Mar 13Mar 18Mar 21Mar 26Mar 31Apr 3Apr 8
32°FFeb 7Feb 18Feb 25Feb 28Mar 5Mar 10Mar 16Mar 20Mar 27
28°F99% of yrsJan 18Jan 31Feb 4Feb 11Feb 16Feb 23Feb 28Mar 6Mar 14
24°F86% of yrsDec 31Jan 13Jan 21Jan 29Feb 2Feb 6Feb 12Feb 20Feb 28
20°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F17% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 29
32°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6Dec 16
28°F99% of yrsNov 13Nov 20Nov 28Dec 2Dec 8Dec 15Dec 26Jan 3Jan 15
24°F86% of yrsDec 1Dec 8Dec 19Dec 27Jan 1Jan 8Jan 14Jan 23Feb 2
20°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F17% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Chipley, FL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 32431 →Compare Cottondale with another place →

Weather by month in Cottondale

July is the warmest month at Chipley, FL, averaging 93°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 64°F and 39°F. A freezing night is all but certain in January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 87% of years and March still brings one in 57% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,760 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 87% of the 158 Florida stations. 42% of them (2,848) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,011. Precipitation totals 61.0 inches a year, most in July (7.2") and least in October (3.7"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Chipley, FL
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan64395.193%11139
Feb67415.587%6172
Mar74475.757%2345
Apr80534.94%0505
May88624.10%0770
Jun92705.30%0918
Jul93727.20%01011
Aug92726.20%0997
Sep89674.20%0846
Oct82563.74%<1592
Nov72464.365%3291
Dec66414.885%9177

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Chipley, FL (130 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Marianna Municipal Airport, FL, 13 miles east of Cottondale, has a last frost 4 days earlier (March 1), a first frost 6 days later (November 27), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 32446 (Marianna) →

When it snows in Cottondale, Florida

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 23 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Chipley, FL, 9.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 32431

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Cottondale, Florida
WhenWhat to do
December 25 – January 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 8 – January 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 5 – February 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 29Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 7Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 21 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 32431 is 9 miles from Chipley, FL, which stands at 130 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 32428 (Chipley). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 32431 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Florida →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Florida