USDA Hardiness Zone 10a
Frost Dates for 32976 — Barefoot Bay, Florida
NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Palm Bay, FL (27 ft), 8 miles west.
Updated
A freeze (32°F) reaches Barefoot Bay in 67% of winters. When it does, the first freeze of winter comes around January 11 and the last freeze of winter around January 30; after March 1 the chance of another is under 7%.
- Last freeze
- January 30
- First freeze
- January 11
- Winters with a freeze
- 67%
- Hardiness zone
- 10a
50%, in freezing years
50%, in freezing years
32°F or below, 1991–2020
30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) coldest night
- First snow
- Rare
- Last snow
- Rare
- Winters with snow
- 0%
- Snow per year
- 0"
median, 1991–2020
median, 1991–2020
0 of 20 observed
NOAA normal
Frost risk by date in Barefoot Bay
In the 67% of winters that bring a 32°F night, half of winters at Palm Bay, FL see their last 32°F night by January 30; only one in ten is past it by January 1, and one in ten still has one after March 1. Counting the winters with no freeze at all, the risk of a 32°F night after March 1 is under 7% and after January 30 33%. The 30 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 101 Florida stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.
In fall the first 32°F night comes by January 11 in half of years, as early as December 21 one year in ten, and holds off past February 14 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F is less common: it came in 27% of winters. On average 1 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about February 11, and return around January 1. A 24°F night is unusual: 4% of winters had one.
| Low | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F97% of yrs | Jan 10 | Jan 21 | Jan 30 | Feb 4 | Feb 11 | Feb 18 | Feb 24 | Mar 3 | Mar 13 |
| 32°F67% of yrs | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 21 | Jan 30 | Feb 3 | Feb 10 | Feb 19 | Mar 1 |
| 28°F27% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 24°F4% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| Low | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F97% of yrs | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 |
| 32°F67% of yrs | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Feb 1 | Feb 14 |
| 28°F27% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 24°F4% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Palm Bay, FL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.
Frost risk on any date in 32976 →Compare Barefoot Bay with another place →
Compared with the next station
The nearest other station, Melbourne Beach A1a, FL, 12 miles north of Barefoot Bay, has a 32°F night in 13% of winters against 67% here.
When it snows in Barefoot Bay, Florida
Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Vero Beach 4SE, FL, 17 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.
Where these figures come from
ZIP 32976 is 8 miles from Palm Bay, FL, which stands at 27 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 32909 (Palm Bay). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 32976 in zone 10a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.
Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.
Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.