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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 34266 — Arcadia, Florida

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Arcadia, FL (25 ft), 1 miles north.

Updated

Arcadia gets a freeze almost every winter, but late: the first 32°F night comes around January 4 and the last around February 7 in a typical year; nine years in ten are past it by March 10.

Last freeze
February 7

50% probability

First freeze
January 4

50% probability

Growing season
324 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Arcadia

Half of winters at Arcadia, FL see their last 32°F night by February 7; only one in ten is past it by January 8, and one in ten still has one after March 10. Planting tender crops after February 21 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 1 20%, and after March 10 10%. The 31 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 91% of the 101 Florida stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by January 4 in half of years, as early as December 8 one year in ten, and holds off past February 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 7 days later, around January 11; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 26, 12 days before the 32°F one. On average 5 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 22 days longer, to about March 1, and return around December 17. A 24°F night is unusual: 21% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FJan 31Feb 8Feb 16Feb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24
32°F91% of yrsJan 8Jan 20Jan 28Feb 2Feb 7Feb 14Feb 21Mar 1Mar 10
28°F57% of yrsDec 31Jan 8Jan 14Jan 20Jan 28Feb 1Feb 7Feb 15Feb 26
24°F21% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F4% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 21Nov 30Dec 5Dec 10Dec 17Dec 23Dec 31Jan 6Jan 16
32°F91% of yrsDec 8Dec 19Dec 28Jan 1Jan 4Jan 9Jan 16Jan 24Feb 6
28°F57% of yrsDec 25Jan 1Jan 3Jan 7Jan 11Jan 17Jan 26Feb 2Feb 16
24°F21% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F4% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Arcadia, FL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 34266 →Compare Arcadia with another place →

Weather by month in Arcadia

August is the warmest month at Arcadia, FL, averaging 92°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 74°F and 47°F. From April to November the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 47% of years and March still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 8,147 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 53% of the 158 Florida stations. 44% of them (3,579) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 980. Precipitation totals 53.9 inches a year, most in June (9.6") and least in November (1.8"); May to September bring 71% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Arcadia, FL
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan74472.366%3338
Feb76502.047%1373
Mar80532.419%<1514
Apr84582.70%0633
May89643.80%0820
Jun91699.60%0901
Jul91718.20%0970
Aug92728.90%0980
Sep90707.80%0904
Oct86642.60%0769
Nov80561.83%0529
Dec75511.833%1416

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Arcadia, FL (25 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Punta Gorda Charlotte Co Airport, FL, 21 miles south of Arcadia, has a 32°F night in 50% of winters against 91% here, and a coolest-month low 4°F warmer (51°F).

Frost dates for 33983 (Punta Gorda) →

When it snows in Arcadia, Florida

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Arcadia, FL, 1.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 34266 is 1 mile from Arcadia, FL, which stands at 25 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 34266 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Florida →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in Florida