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USDA Hardiness Zone 10a

Frost Dates for 34786 — Windermere, Florida

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Orlando W, FL (150 ft), 1 miles northwest.

Updated

A freeze (32°F) reaches Windermere in 70% of winters. When it does, the first freeze of winter comes around January 9 and the last freeze of winter around January 28; after February 26 the chance of another is under 7%.

Last freeze
January 28

50%, in freezing years

First freeze
January 9

50%, in freezing years

Winters with a freeze
70%

32°F or below, 1991–2020

Hardiness zone
10a

30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 24 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Windermere

In the 70% of winters that bring a 32°F night, half of winters at Orlando W, FL see their last 32°F night by January 28; only one in ten is past it by January 1, and one in ten still has one after February 26. Counting the winters with no freeze at all, the risk of a 32°F night after February 26 is under 7% and after January 28 35%. The 29 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 77% of the 101 Florida stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by January 9 in half of years, as early as December 18 one year in ten, and holds off past February 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F is less common: it came in 29% of winters. On average 2 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about February 8, and return around December 27. A 24°F night is unusual: 6% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°F96% of yrsJan 10Jan 22Jan 31Feb 4Feb 8Feb 16Feb 23Feb 28Mar 12
32°F70% of yrsJan 1Jan 8Jan 14Jan 21Jan 28Feb 2Feb 8Feb 16Feb 26
28°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date
24°F6% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°F96% of yrsDec 1Dec 6Dec 14Dec 21Dec 27Jan 1Jan 6Jan 13Jan 24
32°F70% of yrsDec 18Dec 27Jan 1Jan 5Jan 9Jan 15Jan 21Jan 29Feb 6
28°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date
24°F6% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Orlando W, FL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 34786 →Compare Windermere with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Clermont 9 S, FL, 12 miles west of Windermere, has a last frost 1 day later (January 29), a first frost 2 days later (January 11), a season 6 days longer.

Frost dates for 34711 (Clermont) →

When it snows in Windermere, Florida

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 24 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Clermont 9 S, FL, 11.7 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 34786 is 1 mile from Orlando W, FL, which stands at 150 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 9 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 34787 (Winter Garden). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 34786 in zone 10a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Florida →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 10a places in Florida