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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 38368 — ZIP 38368

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Lexington, TN (540 ft), 10 miles north.

Updated

In ZIP 38368, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 5 in half of years and has passed by April 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 208 days (NOAA, Lexington, TN).

Last spring frost
April 5

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
208 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
January 31

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 8

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
54%

14 of 26 observed

Snow per year
1.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in ZIP 38368

Half of springs at Lexington, TN see their last 32°F night by April 5; only one in ten is past it by March 17, and one in ten still has one after April 21. Planting tender crops after April 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 15 20%, and after April 21 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date measure how much the end of the frost season moves from year to year.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 18 one year in ten, and holds off past November 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 9, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 208 days in a typical year; it reaches 230 days one year in ten and falls short of 188 one year in ten. On average 77 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 17, and return around October 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 97% of winters, usually between December 27 and February 13.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 1Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 23Apr 27May 1
32°FMar 17Mar 23Mar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 21
28°FMar 4Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 9
24°FFeb 18Feb 26Mar 1Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 23Mar 31
20°FJan 31Feb 8Feb 16Feb 22Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 16
16°F97% of yrsJan 17Jan 27Jan 31Feb 7Feb 13Feb 20Feb 25Mar 1Mar 7
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3
32°FOct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 12
28°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 20Nov 27
24°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Nov 29Dec 3Dec 11
20°FNov 12Nov 20Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 17Dec 23Jan 1
16°F97% of yrsNov 29Dec 7Dec 16Dec 23Dec 27Jan 1Jan 5Jan 10Jan 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Lexington, TN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38368 →Compare ZIP 38368 with another place →

Weather by month in ZIP 38368

July is the warmest month at Lexington, TN, averaging 89°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 48°F and 27°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 63% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,667 growing degree days a year (base 50°F). 38% of them (1,787) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 893. Precipitation totals 54.9 inches a year, most in May (6.1") and least in August (3.4"); May to September bring 40% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington, TN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan48274.5100%2122
Feb53314.7100%1638
Mar62384.798%9120
Apr72465.263%2294
May79566.10%0548
Jun86654.30%0765
Jul89684.30%0893
Aug89673.40%0873
Sep84603.90%0652
Oct73474.254%2333
Nov61374.299%1099
Dec51315.4100%1732

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington, TN (540 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Decaturville, TN, 15 miles northeast of ZIP 38368, has a last frost 1 day earlier (April 4), the same first-frost date.

Frost dates for 38329 (Decaturville) →

When it snows in ZIP 38368

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in ZIP 38368 usually arrives around January 31, and the last of the season around February 8. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Lexington, TN, 10.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 54% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 56 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 38368

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for ZIP 38368
WhenWhat to do
January 25 – February 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 8 – February 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 8 – March 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38368 is 10 miles from Lexington, TN, which stands at 540 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 38351 (Lexington). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38368 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station