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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 38585 — Spencer, Tennessee

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN (1,790 ft), 5 miles southeast.

Updated

In Spencer, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 21 in half of years and has passed by May 9 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 19, as early as October 5 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 180 days (NOAA, Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN).

Last spring frost
April 21

50% probability

First fall frost
October 19

50% probability

Growing season
180 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
January 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
97%

29 of 30 observed

Snow per year
4.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Spencer

Half of springs at Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN see their last 32°F night by April 21; only one in ten is past it by April 3, and one in ten still has one after May 9. Planting tender crops after April 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 2 20%, and after May 9 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 67% of the 144 Tennessee stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 19 in half of years, as early as October 5 one year in ten, and holds off past November 2 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around October 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 26, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 180 days in a typical year, shorter than at 95% of the 144 Tennessee stations; it reaches 203 days one year in ten and falls short of 156 one year in ten. On average 100 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 3, and return around October 11. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 3 and February 28.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 18Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 10May 13May 19
32°FApr 3Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 2May 9
28°FMar 21Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 26
24°FMar 7Mar 15Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 8Apr 15
20°FFeb 19Feb 27Mar 5Mar 11Mar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 30Apr 5
16°FFeb 2Feb 12Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 5Mar 11Mar 18Mar 25
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 29Oct 3Oct 6Oct 8Oct 11Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24
32°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Nov 2
28°FOct 15Oct 20Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11
24°FOct 25Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 18Nov 27
20°FNov 3Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 10
16°FNov 11Nov 17Nov 23Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14Dec 24Jan 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38585 →Compare Spencer with another place →

Weather by month in Spencer

July is the warmest month at Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN, averaging 85°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 46°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 24% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,583 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 94% of the 144 Tennessee stations. 37% of them (1,318) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 727.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan4625100%2214
Feb5028100%1921
Mar5834100%1373
Apr684293%5207
May755124%1408
Jun81580%0595
Jul85620%0727
Aug84610%0701
Sep80554%<1512
Oct714386%5246
Nov5933100%1458
Dec4929100%2022

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN (1,790 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Pikeville, TN, 14 miles southeast of Spencer and 926 feet lower, has a last frost 10 days earlier (April 11), a first frost 6 days later (October 25), a season 17 days longer.

Frost dates for 37367 (Pikeville) →

When it snows in Spencer, Tennessee

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Spencer usually arrives around January 6, and the last of the season around February 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Pikeville, TN, 14 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 97% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 62 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 38585

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Spencer, Tennessee
WhenWhat to do
February 10 – February 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 24 – March 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 24 – April 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 27Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 5Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 19 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38585 is 5 miles from Fall Creek Falls Sp, TN, which stands at 1,790 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38585 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Tennessee →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7a places in Tennessee