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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 41230 — Louisa, Kentucky

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Charley 2 SW, KY (740 ft), 10 miles southwest.

Updated

In Louisa, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 24 in half of years and has passed by May 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 17, as early as October 6 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 174 days (NOAA, Charley 2 SW, KY).

Last spring frost
April 24

50% probability

First fall frost
October 17

50% probability

Growing season
174 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
December 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 10

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

26 of 26 observed

Snow per year
17.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Louisa

Half of springs at Charley 2 SW, KY see their last 32°F night by April 24; only one in ten is past it by April 11, and one in ten still has one after May 12. Planting tender crops after May 2 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 6 20%, and after May 12 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 54% of the 113 Kentucky stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 17 in half of years, as early as October 6 one year in ten, and holds off past October 29 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 2, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 174 days in a typical year, shorter than at 92% of the 113 Kentucky stations; it reaches 191 days one year in ten and falls short of 153 one year in ten. On average 127 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 6, and return around October 9. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 29 and March 8.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 21Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 6May 9May 12May 16May 21
32°FApr 11Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 29May 2May 6May 12
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22May 2
24°FMar 16Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 13
20°FMar 3Mar 9Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 30Apr 2
16°FFeb 11Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 20
32°FOct 6Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29
28°FOct 13Oct 18Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 7
24°FOct 24Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 21
20°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Nov 30Dec 6
16°FNov 9Nov 15Nov 20Nov 24Nov 29Dec 2Dec 6Dec 12Dec 21

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Charley 2 SW, KY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 41230 →Compare Louisa with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Louisa

Frost curve for Louisa, Kentucky (Charley 2 SW, KY, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 11 to 50% on April 24 and 10% on May 12; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 6 to 50% on October 17 and 90% on October 29.

In Louisa, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 12 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 6, 147 days later; that gap is shorter than at 90% of the 113 Kentucky stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 31 days (April 11 to May 12) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 23 days (October 6 to October 29): the last frost moves more from year to year than the first. At Inez 2 E, KY, 15 miles southeast, the same gap runs from May 9 to October 10, 7 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Louisa
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 10over 90%57%
Apr 1775%37%
Apr 2450% date50%18%
May 133%11%
May 817%under 10%
May 15under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Louisa

July is the warmest month at Charley 2 SW, KY, averaging 85°F by day and 63°F at night; January is the coldest at 44°F and 23°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 34% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,436 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 96% of the 113 Kentucky stations. 37% of them (1,267) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 742. Precipitation totals 46.0 inches a year, most in June (4.7") and least in February (2.9"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Charley 2 SW, KY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan44233.3100%268
Feb48252.9100%2510
Mar58304.0100%1954
Apr70394.699%7190
May76494.634%1393
Jun82584.70%0612
Jul85634.70%0742
Aug84613.70%0699
Sep79534.02%0487
Oct69413.194%6195
Nov57303.1100%1835
Dec47263.3100%2511

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Charley 2 SW, KY (740 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Inez 2 E, KY, 15 miles southeast of Louisa, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 20), a first frost 7 days later (October 24), a season 12 days longer.

Frost dates for 41224 (Inez) →

When it snows in Louisa, Kentucky

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Louisa usually arrives around December 13, and the last of the season around March 10. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Dunlow 1 SW, WV, 15.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 45 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 41230

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Louisa, Kentucky
WhenWhat to do
February 13 – February 27Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 27 – March 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 27 – April 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 25Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 3Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 17 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 41230 is 10 miles from Charley 2 SW, KY, which stands at 740 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 41230 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Kentucky →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7a places in Kentucky