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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 42633 — Monticello, Kentucky

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Monticello 3 NE, KY (979 ft), 5 miles north.

Updated

In Monticello, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 18 in half of years and has passed by May 5 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 26, as early as October 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 190 days (NOAA, Monticello 3 NE, KY).

Last spring frost
April 18

50% probability

First fall frost
October 26

50% probability

Growing season
190 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
December 5

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 14

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
14.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Monticello

Half of springs at Monticello 3 NE, KY see their last 32°F night by April 18; only one in ten is past it by March 31, and one in ten still has one after May 5. Planting tender crops after April 25 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 30 20%, and after May 5 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 47% of the 113 Kentucky stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 26 in half of years, as early as October 14 one year in ten, and holds off past November 7 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 23, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 190 days in a typical year, shorter than at 60% of the 113 Kentucky stations; it reaches 211 days one year in ten and falls short of 166 one year in ten. On average 99 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 29, and return around October 16. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 16 and February 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 9May 15
32°FMar 31Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 20Apr 25Apr 30May 5
28°FMar 17Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 11Apr 16Apr 23
24°FMar 2Mar 9Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 3Apr 8
20°FFeb 14Feb 25Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 18Mar 24Mar 30
16°FJan 31Feb 6Feb 12Feb 19Feb 26Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 17
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 4Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 30
32°FOct 14Oct 18Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 7
28°FOct 21Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 18
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3
20°FNov 11Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 7Dec 15Dec 23
16°FNov 21Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 16Dec 22Dec 27Jan 1Jan 9

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Monticello 3 NE, KY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 42633 →Compare Monticello with another place →

Weather by month in Monticello

July is the warmest month at Monticello 3 NE, KY, averaging 86°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 45°F and 26°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 87% of years and May still brings one in 18% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,014 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 50% of the 113 Kentucky stations. 37% of them (1,480) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 806. Precipitation totals 52.5 inches a year, most in March (5.2") and least in October (2.9"); May to September bring 42% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Monticello 3 NE, KY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan45264.5100%2219
Feb49284.3100%2021
Mar58355.2100%1586
Apr68434.887%5225
May76534.918%<1454
Jun83624.70%0673
Jul86664.90%0806
Aug86643.90%0772
Sep81573.80%0570
Oct70462.971%4275
Nov58363.699%1384
Dec48305.0100%2027

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Monticello 3 NE, KY (979 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Jamestown Wwtp, KY, 19 miles northwest of Monticello, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 2 days earlier (October 24), a season 1 day shorter.

Frost dates for 42728 (Columbia) →

When it snows in Monticello, Kentucky

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Monticello usually arrives around December 5, and the last of the season around March 14. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Monticello 3 NE, KY, 4.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 35 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 42633

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Monticello, Kentucky
WhenWhat to do
February 7 – February 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 21 – March 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 21 – April 4Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 18 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 3Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 12Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 26 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 42633 is 5 miles from Monticello 3 NE, KY, which stands at 979 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 42633 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Kentucky →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in Kentucky