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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48160 — Milan, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Milan Wwtp, MI (680 ft), under a mile east.

Updated

In Milan, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 26 in half of years and has passed by May 9 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 19, as early as October 2 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 175 days (NOAA, Milan Wwtp, MI).

Last spring frost
April 26

50% probability

First fall frost
October 19

50% probability

Growing season
175 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
December 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Milan

Half of springs at Milan Wwtp, MI see their last 32°F night by April 26; only one in ten is past it by April 13, and one in ten still has one after May 9. Planting tender crops after May 1 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 4 20%, and after May 9 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 95% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 19 in half of years, as early as October 2 one year in ten, and holds off past November 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 30, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 175 days in a typical year, longer than at 87% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 197 days one year in ten and falls short of 155 one year in ten. On average 137 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 5, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 6 and March 16.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 7May 10May 14May 19
32°FApr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 9
28°FApr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 30
24°FMar 19Mar 26Mar 30Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 19
20°FMar 10Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 3Apr 7
16°FFeb 28Mar 6Mar 10Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 20
32°FOct 2Oct 8Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 3
28°FOct 16Oct 21Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14
24°FOct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 28
20°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 12
16°FNov 19Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 10Dec 14Dec 19Dec 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Milan Wwtp, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48160 →Compare Milan with another place →

Weather by month in Milan

July is the warmest month at Milan Wwtp, MI, averaging 84°F by day and 63°F at night; January is the coldest at 32°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 32% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,886 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 88% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (961) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 716.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Milan Wwtp, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3217100%281
Feb3418100%261
Mar4526100%2415
Apr583799%975
May704932%1304
Jun79580%0566
Jul84630%0716
Aug81610%0646
Sep75537%<1408
Oct624185%5136
Nov4832100%1717
Dec3624100%272

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Milan Wwtp, MI (680 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Milan 4 ESE, MI, 4 miles east of Milan, has a last frost 7 days later (May 3), a first frost 9 days earlier (October 10), a season 17 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48191 (Willis) →

When it snows in Milan, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Milan usually arrives around December 6, and the last of the season around March 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Milan 4 ESE, MI, 3.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48160

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Milan, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 15 – March 1Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 1 – March 15Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 29 – April 12Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 26 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 27Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 5Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 19 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48160 is under a mile from Milan Wwtp, MI, which stands at 680 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48160 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6a places in Michigan