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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48176 — Saline, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Saline Wwtp, MI (750 ft), under a mile south.

Updated

In Saline, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 18 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 11, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, Saline Wwtp, MI).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 11

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 12

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 16

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
59.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Saline

Half of springs at Saline Wwtp, MI see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 17, and one in ten still has one after May 18. Planting tender crops after May 8 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 12 20%, and after May 18 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 38% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 11 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 24; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 7, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, longer than at 51% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 181 days one year in ten and falls short of 141 one year in ten. On average 153 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 13, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 27 and March 21.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 28May 3May 6May 9May 13May 16May 19May 23May 28
32°FApr 17Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 12May 18
28°FApr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 2May 7
24°FMar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22
20°FMar 15Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 13
16°FMar 4Mar 10Mar 15Mar 17Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 30Apr 2
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 13
32°FSep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 26
28°FOct 7Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 2Nov 7
24°FOct 20Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19
20°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3
16°FNov 9Nov 14Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 18

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Saline Wwtp, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48176 →Compare Saline with another place →

Weather by month in Saline

July is the warmest month at Saline Wwtp, MI, averaging 85°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 15°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 55% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,678 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 69% of the 172 Michigan stations. 34% of them (901) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 669.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saline Wwtp, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3315100%291
Feb3616100%271
Mar4623100%2614
Apr5934100%1370
May714555%1275
Jun81550%0540
Jul85590%0669
Aug83570%0607
Sep754914%<1372
Oct633894%9116
Nov4928100%2111
Dec3721100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saline Wwtp, MI (750 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ann Arbor Municipal Airport, MI, 4 miles northeast of Saline, has a last frost 6 days later (May 8), a first frost 7 days earlier (October 4), a season 13 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48103 (Ann Arbor) →

When it snows in Saline, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Saline usually arrives around November 12, and the last of the season around April 16. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Ann Arbor SE, MI, 7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 16 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48176

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Saline, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48176 is under a mile from Saline Wwtp, MI, which stands at 750 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48176 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6a places in Michigan