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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48188 — Canton, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI (777 ft), 5 miles southwest.

Updated

In Canton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 24 in half of years and has passed by May 11 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 24, as early as October 7 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 179 days (NOAA, Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI).

Last spring frost
April 24

50% probability

First fall frost
October 24

50% probability

Growing season
179 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 22

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 7

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
45"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Canton

Half of springs at Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI see their last 32°F night by April 24; only one in ten is past it by April 10, and one in ten still has one after May 11. Planting tender crops after April 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 5 20%, and after May 11 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 24 in half of years, as early as October 7 one year in ten, and holds off past November 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 28, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 179 days in a typical year, longer than at 94% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 199 days one year in ten and falls short of 158 one year in ten. On average 130 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 4, and return around October 10. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 8 and March 10.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 4May 7May 11May 16May 21
32°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 5May 11
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 15Apr 19Apr 22Apr 28
24°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 8Apr 14
20°FMar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1
16°FFeb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 8Mar 10Mar 13Mar 16Mar 20Mar 26
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25
32°FOct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2Nov 6
28°FOct 20Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18
24°FNov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 26Dec 1
20°FNov 11Nov 15Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 17
16°FNov 21Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 12Dec 16Dec 21Dec 26

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48188 →Compare Canton with another place →

Weather by month in Canton

July is the warmest month at Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI, averaging 86°F by day and 63°F at night; January is the coldest at 34°F and 20°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 29% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,267 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 99% of the 172 Michigan stations. 34% of them (1,114) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 769. Precipitation totals 30.2 inches a year, most in May (3.3") and least in February (1.5"); May to September bring 51% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan34201.7100%281
Feb37211.5100%253
Mar48292.1100%2325
Apr61393.199%9105
May73503.329%1353
Jun82603.00%0628
Jul86633.00%0769
Aug84623.10%0710
Sep77543.02%0468
Oct64432.574%5172
Nov50342.2100%1531
Dec39261.7100%254

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI (777 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Detroit Metro Airport, MI, 8 miles southeast of Canton, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 20), a first frost 3 days later (October 27), a season 9 days longer.

Frost dates for 48180 (Taylor) →

When it snows in Canton, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Canton usually arrives around November 22, and the last of the season around April 7. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Detroit Metro Airport, MI, 8.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 17 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48188

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Canton, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 13 – February 27Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 27 – March 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 27 – April 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48188 is 5 miles from Detroit Willow Run Airport, MI, which stands at 777 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48187 (Canton). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48188 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan