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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48327 — Waterford, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI (976 ft), 2 miles northwest.

Updated

In Waterford, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 29 in half of years and has passed by May 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 20, as early as October 5 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 172 days (NOAA, Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI).

Last spring frost
April 29

50% probability

First fall frost
October 20

50% probability

Growing season
172 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 15

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
62.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Waterford

Half of springs at Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI see their last 32°F night by April 29; only one in ten is past it by April 16, and one in ten still has one after May 14. Planting tender crops after May 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 9 20%, and after May 14 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 20 in half of years, as early as October 5 one year in ten, and holds off past November 2 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 1, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 172 days in a typical year, longer than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 192 days one year in ten and falls short of 153 one year in ten. On average 136 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 9, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 11May 15May 19May 23
32°FApr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 29May 1May 5May 9May 14
28°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 1
24°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19
20°FMar 12Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10
16°FMar 3Mar 8Mar 11Mar 15Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 26Oct 1Oct 2Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 21
32°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 29Nov 2
28°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14
24°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 28
20°FNov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 10
16°FNov 17Nov 22Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 11Dec 16Dec 21

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48327 →Compare Waterford with another place →

Weather by month in Waterford

July is the warmest month at Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI, averaging 82°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 43% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,754 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (902) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 687. Precipitation totals 29.3 inches a year, most in May (3.7") and least in February (1.1"); May to September bring 54% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30171.6100%290
Feb33181.1100%261
Mar43261.9100%2414
Apr57362.7100%1069
May69483.743%1278
Jun78583.20%0540
Jul82622.80%0687
Aug80612.90%0639
Sep73533.13%0390
Oct60422.684%4120
Nov46322.1100%1616
Dec35231.6100%272

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI (976 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, White Lake 4E, MI, 5 miles northwest of Waterford, has a last frost 11 days later (May 10), a first frost 14 days earlier (October 6), a season 24 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48348 (Clarkston) →

When it snows in Waterford, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Waterford usually arrives around November 17, and the last of the season around April 15. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at White Lake 4E, MI, 5.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 14 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48327

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Waterford, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 18 – March 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 4 – March 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 1 – April 15Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 29 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 28Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 6Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 20 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48327 is 2 miles from Pontiac Oakland Co International Airport, MI, which stands at 976 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 6 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48328 (Waterford). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48327 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan