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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48430 — Fenton, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Linden Wwtp, MI (863 ft), 4 miles northwest.

Updated

In Fenton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 3 in half of years and has passed by May 20 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 12, as early as September 30 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 161 days (NOAA, Linden Wwtp, MI).

Last spring frost
May 3

50% probability

First fall frost
October 12

50% probability

Growing season
161 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
52.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fenton

Half of springs at Linden Wwtp, MI see their last 32°F night by May 3; only one in ten is past it by April 21, and one in ten still has one after May 20. Planting tender crops after May 10 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 20 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 12 in half of years, as early as September 30 one year in ten, and holds off past October 28 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 27; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 9, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 161 days in a typical year, longer than at 56% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 181 days one year in ten and falls short of 141 one year in ten. On average 149 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 15, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 1 and March 21.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 3May 7May 11May 15May 18May 22May 25May 30
32°FApr 21Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 5May 10May 15May 20
28°FApr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 9
24°FMar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23
20°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 14
16°FMar 7Mar 13Mar 16Mar 18Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 3
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 13
32°FSep 30Oct 3Oct 7Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 28
28°FOct 10Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
24°FOct 24Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 24
20°FNov 5Nov 9Nov 14Nov 18Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 7
16°FNov 15Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 13Dec 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Linden Wwtp, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48430 →Compare Fenton with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Fenton

Frost curve for Fenton, Michigan (Linden Wwtp, MI, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 21 to 50% on May 3 and 10% on May 20; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 30 to 50% on October 12 and 90% on October 28.

In Fenton, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 20 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 30, 133 days later; that gap is longer than at 59% of the 172 Michigan stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 29 days (April 21 to May 20) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 28 days (September 30 to October 28): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Flint Bishop International Airport, MI, 13 miles north, the same gap runs from May 23 to September 26, 7 days shorter.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Fenton
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 19over 90%63%
Apr 2675%40%
May 350% date50%19%
May 1030%under 10%
May 1716%under 10%
May 24under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Fenton

July is the warmest month at Linden Wwtp, MI, averaging 81°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 15°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 58% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,422 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 53% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (791) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 607.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Linden Wwtp, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3015100%290
Feb3315100%270
Mar4224100%2513
Apr5534100%1353
May684658%2241
Jun77550%0484
Jul81590%0607
Aug79580%0561
Sep725012%0342
Oct594093%6103
Nov4730100%1916
Dec3421100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Linden Wwtp, MI (863 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Flint Bishop International Airport, MI, 13 miles north of Fenton, has a last frost 3 days later (May 6), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 10), a season 6 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48439 (Grand Blanc) →

When it snows in Fenton, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Fenton usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Flint Bishop International Airport, MI, 12.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 20 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48430

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fenton, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 22 – March 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 8 – March 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 5 – April 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 3 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 20Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 28Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 12 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48430 is 4 miles from Linden Wwtp, MI, which stands at 863 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48430 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan