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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48609 — Saginaw, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Saginaw #3, MI (600 ft), 7 miles east.

Updated

In Saginaw, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 29 in half of years and has passed by May 13 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 21, as early as October 5 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 175 days (NOAA, Saginaw #3, MI).

Last spring frost
April 29

50% probability

First fall frost
October 21

50% probability

Growing season
175 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 30

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 30

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

26 of 26 observed

Snow per year
40.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Saginaw

Half of springs at Saginaw #3, MI see their last 32°F night by April 29; only one in ten is past it by April 14, and one in ten still has one after May 13. Planting tender crops after May 4 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 7 20%, and after May 13 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 21 in half of years, as early as October 5 one year in ten, and holds off past November 2 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 1, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 175 days in a typical year, longer than at 87% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 194 days one year in ten and falls short of 155 one year in ten. On average 143 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 8 days longer, to about May 7, and return around October 9. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 3 and March 18.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 7May 11May 14May 18May 23
32°FApr 14Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29Apr 30May 4May 7May 13
28°FApr 2Apr 6Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 1
24°FMar 22Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19
20°FMar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 9
16°FMar 3Mar 9Mar 13Mar 15Mar 18Mar 20Mar 23Mar 28Apr 1
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 27Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 22
32°FOct 5Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2
28°FOct 20Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16
24°FNov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 29
20°FNov 9Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Nov 30Dec 4Dec 11
16°FNov 18Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 6Dec 10Dec 17Dec 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Saginaw #3, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48609 →Compare Saginaw with another place →

Weather by month in Saginaw

July is the warmest month at Saginaw #3, MI, averaging 83°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 39% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,779 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 83% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (904) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 691. Precipitation totals 34.0 inches a year, most in April (3.6") and least in February (1.9"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saginaw #3, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30162.3100%290
Feb33171.9100%271
Mar43252.0100%2512
Apr56353.6100%1165
May69473.639%1280
Jun79583.50%0546
Jul83623.40%0691
Aug82603.50%0651
Sep74522.74%0398
Oct61412.984%5120
Nov46312.6100%1715
Dec35232.0100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saginaw #3, MI (600 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Saginaw Mbs International Airport, MI, 9 miles north of Saginaw, has a last frost 3 days earlier (April 26), a first frost 4 days earlier (October 17), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48623 (Freeland) →

When it snows in Saginaw, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Saginaw usually arrives around November 30, and the last of the season around March 30. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Saginaw #3, MI, 7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 30 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48609

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Saginaw, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 18 – March 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 4 – March 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 1 – April 15Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 29 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 29Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 7Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 21 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48609 is 7 miles from Saginaw #3, MI, which stands at 600 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 7 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48601 (Saginaw). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48609 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan