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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48642 — Midland, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Midland, MI (640 ft), 3 miles south.

Updated

In Midland, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 29 in half of years and has passed by May 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 16, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 167 days (NOAA, Midland, MI).

Last spring frost
April 29

50% probability

First fall frost
October 16

50% probability

Growing season
167 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 26

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Midland

Half of springs at Midland, MI see their last 32°F night by April 29; only one in ten is past it by April 16, and one in ten still has one after May 16. Planting tender crops after May 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 16 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 16 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past November 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 31; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 2, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 167 days in a typical year, longer than at 73% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 190 days one year in ten and falls short of 147 one year in ten. On average 136 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 10, and return around October 4. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 19.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 7May 10May 14May 18May 23May 28
32°FApr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 29May 2May 5May 10May 16
28°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 23Apr 28May 2
24°FMar 24Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20
20°FMar 14Mar 19Mar 22Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 11
16°FMar 4Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 3
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 18
32°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Nov 1
28°FOct 15Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 15
24°FOct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27
20°FNov 7Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9
16°FNov 17Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 11Dec 16Dec 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Midland, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48642 →Compare Midland with another place →

Weather by month in Midland

July is the warmest month at Midland, MI, averaging 82°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 29°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 44% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,691 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (876) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 676. Precipitation totals 33.4 inches a year, most in May (3.7") and least in February (1.9"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Midland, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan29172.0100%290
Feb32181.9100%260
Mar43252.0100%2413
Apr56363.5100%1064
May68483.744%1271
Jun78573.70%0528
Jul82622.80%0676
Aug80603.20%0617
Sep73522.88%<1382
Oct60423.188%4123
Nov46322.7100%1616
Dec34232.0100%271

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Midland, MI (640 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Auburn 2NE, MI, 10 miles east of Midland, has a last frost 4 days later (May 3), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 14), a season 6 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48611 (Auburn) →

When it snows in Midland, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Midland usually arrives around November 26, and the last of the season around March 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Midland, MI, 3.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 43 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48642

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Midland, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 18 – March 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 4 – March 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 1 – April 15Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 29 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 24Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48642 is 3 miles from Midland, MI, which stands at 640 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48642 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan