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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48836 — Fowlerville, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Howell Wwtp, MI (917 ft), 9 miles southeast.

Updated

In Fowlerville, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 4 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 7, as early as September 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 156 days (NOAA, Howell Wwtp, MI).

Last spring frost
May 4

50% probability

First fall frost
October 7

50% probability

Growing season
156 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 25

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 4

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
33.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fowlerville

Half of springs at Howell Wwtp, MI see their last 32°F night by May 4; only one in ten is past it by April 20, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 16 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 7 in half of years, as early as September 27 one year in ten, and holds off past October 21 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 11, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, shorter than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 174 days one year in ten and falls short of 136 one year in ten. On average 154 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 16, and return around September 29. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 26 and March 25.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 4May 8May 13May 16May 19May 23May 27May 31
32°FApr 20Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 7May 11May 16May 21
28°FApr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 5May 11
24°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 28
20°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 10Apr 16
16°FMar 10Mar 15Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 17Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10
32°FSep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 21
28°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3
24°FOct 18Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16
20°FOct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Nov 29
16°FNov 9Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 7Dec 14

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Howell Wwtp, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48836 →Compare Fowlerville with another place →

Weather by month in Fowlerville

July is the warmest month at Howell Wwtp, MI, averaging 83°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 59% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,543 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 56% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (841) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 637. Precipitation totals 32.9 inches a year, most in June (3.7") and least in February (1.6"); May to September bring 52% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Howell Wwtp, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan31142.1100%291
Feb35151.6100%270
Mar44242.0100%2617
Apr58342.9100%1265
May69453.659%2247
Jun79553.70%0512
Jul83583.00%0637
Aug81573.60%0587
Sep75493.120%<1357
Oct62382.999%9108
Nov48292.4100%1912
Dec36212.0100%291

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Howell Wwtp, MI (917 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hell, MI, 17 miles south of Fowlerville, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 30), a first frost 7 days later (October 14), a season 10 days longer.

Frost dates for 48169 (Pinckney) →

When it snows in Fowlerville, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Fowlerville usually arrives around November 25, and the last of the season around April 4. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Howell Wwtp, MI, 8.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 30 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48836

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fowlerville, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 23 – March 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 9 – March 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 6 – April 20Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 4 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 15Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 23Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 7 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48836 is 9 miles from Howell Wwtp, MI, which stands at 917 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48843 (Howell). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48836 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan