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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 49286 — Tecumseh, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tecumseh, MI (780 ft), under a mile south.

Updated

In Tecumseh, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 3 in half of years and has passed by May 18 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 13, as early as September 30 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, Tecumseh, MI).

Last spring frost
May 3

50% probability

First fall frost
October 13

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
December 3

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 14

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tecumseh

Half of springs at Tecumseh, MI see their last 32°F night by May 3; only one in ten is past it by April 20, and one in ten still has one after May 18. Planting tender crops after May 9 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 12 20%, and after May 18 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 13 in half of years, as early as September 30 one year in ten, and holds off past October 25 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 25; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 7, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, longer than at 51% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 180 days one year in ten and falls short of 141 one year in ten. On average 151 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 14, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 29 and March 20.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 4May 8May 11May 14May 17May 20May 24May 29
32°FApr 20Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 18
28°FApr 9Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 7
24°FMar 29Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 28
20°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 8Apr 15
16°FMar 4Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 20Sep 23Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13
32°FSep 30Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25
28°FOct 10Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6
24°FOct 24Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 21
20°FNov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 2
16°FNov 12Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 18

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tecumseh, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49286 →Compare Tecumseh with another place →

Weather by month in Tecumseh

July is the warmest month at Tecumseh, MI, averaging 86°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 15°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 59% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,734 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 78% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (893) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 690.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tecumseh, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3315100%290
Feb3616100%270
Mar4624100%2512
Apr6034100%1267
May714559%2271
Jun81550%0543
Jul86590%0690
Aug83570%0618
Sep765011%<1394
Oct633996%8125
Nov4929100%2013
Dec3821100%282

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tecumseh, MI (780 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Adrian 2 NNE, MI, 8 miles southwest of Tecumseh, has a last frost 2 days earlier (May 1), a first frost 2 days later (October 15), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 49221 (Adrian) →

When it snows in Tecumseh, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tecumseh usually arrives around December 3, and the last of the season around March 14. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tecumseh, MI, 0.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 50 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49286

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tecumseh, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 22 – March 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 8 – March 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 5 – April 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 3 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 21Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 29Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 13 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49286 is under a mile from Tecumseh, MI, which stands at 780 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49286 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan