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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 49629 — Elk Rapids, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Old Mission 3SSW, MI (656 ft), 6 miles west.

Updated

In Elk Rapids, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 13 in half of years and has passed by May 29 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 19, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 158 days (NOAA, Old Mission 3SSW, MI).

Last spring frost
May 13

50% probability

First fall frost
October 19

50% probability

Growing season
158 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 11

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
114.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elk Rapids

Half of springs at Old Mission 3SSW, MI see their last 32°F night by May 13; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 29. Planting tender crops after May 20 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 25 20%, and after May 29 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 38% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 19 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 16 days later, around November 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 158 days in a typical year, shorter than at 50% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 183 days one year in ten and falls short of 135 one year in ten. On average 157 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 26, and return around October 4. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 10 and March 29.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 7May 16May 20May 24May 26May 29Jun 1Jun 4Jun 8
32°FApr 28Apr 30May 5May 9May 13May 17May 20May 25May 29
28°FApr 16Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 8May 12May 19
24°FApr 5Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 5
20°FMar 22Mar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 16Apr 20
16°FMar 12Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6Apr 10
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18
32°FOct 1Oct 7Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23Oct 28Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 18Oct 25Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15Nov 22
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 25Dec 1Dec 6
20°FNov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 11Dec 19
16°FNov 21Nov 28Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 20Dec 24Dec 31

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Old Mission 3SSW, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49629 →Compare Elk Rapids with another place →

Weather by month in Elk Rapids

July is the warmest month at Old Mission 3SSW, MI, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 76% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,248 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations. 29% of them (648) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 583.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Old Mission 3SSW, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3017100%300
Feb3116100%270
Mar4122100%277
Apr5231100%1933
May664376%5187
Jun76525%<1421
Jul80580%0583
Aug79580%0569
Sep71519%<1342
Oct584177%493
Nov463399%1713
Dec3525100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Old Mission 3SSW, MI (656 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Traverse City Cherry Cptl Airport, MI, 14 miles southwest of Elk Rapids, has a last frost 1 day earlier (May 12), a first frost 3 days earlier (October 16), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 49686 (Traverse City) →

When it snows in Elk Rapids, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Elk Rapids usually arrives around November 11, and the last of the season around April 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at NW Michigan Rsch Farm, MI, 13.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49629

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elk Rapids, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 4 – March 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 18 – April 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 15 – April 29Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 13 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 27Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 5Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 19 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49629 is 6 miles from Old Mission 3SSW, MI, which stands at 656 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 49682 (Suttons Bay). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49629 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan