Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 49779 — Rogers City, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rogers City, MI (615 ft), 1 miles east.

Updated

In Rogers City, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 10 in half of years and has passed by May 24 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 14, as early as September 30 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 154 days (NOAA, Rogers City, MI).

Last spring frost
May 10

50% probability

First fall frost
October 14

50% probability

Growing season
154 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

19 of 19 observed

Snow per year
84.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Rogers City

Half of springs at Rogers City, MI see their last 32°F night by May 10; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 24. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 21 20%, and after May 24 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 14 in half of years, as early as September 30 one year in ten, and holds off past October 31 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 28; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 15, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 154 days in a typical year, shorter than at 60% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 176 days one year in ten and falls short of 135 one year in ten. On average 162 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about May 24, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 2 and March 31.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 10May 15May 18May 21May 24May 27May 30Jun 1Jun 5
32°FApr 28May 1May 5May 8May 10May 14May 16May 21May 24
28°FApr 15Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 29May 1May 5May 10May 15
24°FApr 2Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26May 1
20°FMar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 15Apr 20
16°FMar 15Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 11
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 17Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 15
32°FSep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 31
28°FOct 11Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 12
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25
20°FNov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 7
16°FNov 15Nov 22Nov 27Nov 30Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 20

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rogers City, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49779 →Compare Rogers City with another place →

Weather by month in Rogers City

July is the warmest month at Rogers City, MI, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 28°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 82% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,120 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 71% of the 172 Michigan stations. 27% of them (574) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 583. Precipitation totals 31.8 inches a year, most in June (3.4") and least in February (1.5"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rogers City, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan28142.2100%300
Feb30131.5100%270
Mar38201.7100%292
Apr50302.6100%1824
May64412.982%3150
Jun75523.40%0398
Jul80583.10%0583
Aug79573.40%0553
Sep71503.112%<1321
Oct57393.389%782
Nov44302.3100%197
Dec34212.3100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rogers City, MI (615 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Onaway 4N, MI, 19 miles west of Rogers City, has a last frost 12 days later (May 22), a first frost 12 days earlier (October 2), a season 19 days shorter.

Frost dates for 49765 (Onaway) →

When it snows in Rogers City, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Rogers City usually arrives around November 6, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Rogers City, MI, 1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 27 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49779

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Rogers City, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 1 – March 15Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 15 – March 29Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 12 – April 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 10 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 22Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 30Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 14 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49779 is 1 mile from Rogers City, MI, which stands at 615 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49779 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6a places in Michigan