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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 52057 — Manchester, Iowa

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Manchester #2, IA (990 ft), under a mile south.

Updated

In Manchester, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 3 in half of years and has passed by May 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 4, as early as September 22 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 154 days (NOAA, Manchester #2, IA).

Last spring frost
May 3

50% probability

First fall frost
October 4

50% probability

Growing season
154 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 19

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 7

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
34.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Manchester

Half of springs at Manchester #2, IA see their last 32°F night by May 3; only one in ten is past it by April 18, and one in ten still has one after May 16. Planting tender crops after May 9 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 12 20%, and after May 16 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 42% of the 132 Iowa stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 4 in half of years, as early as September 22 one year in ten, and holds off past October 17 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 7, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 154 days in a typical year, shorter than at 84% of the 132 Iowa stations; it reaches 174 days one year in ten and falls short of 136 one year in ten. On average 158 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 12, and return around September 26. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 14 and March 21.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 29May 4May 7May 9May 12May 15May 18May 21May 25
32°FApr 18Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 16
28°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 7
24°FMar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 19Apr 23Apr 29
20°FMar 14Mar 20Mar 25Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 16
16°FMar 7Mar 11Mar 15Mar 18Mar 21Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7
32°FSep 22Sep 26Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 12Oct 17
28°FOct 2Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 24Oct 28
24°FOct 12Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 6
20°FOct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 14Nov 20
16°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 16Nov 21Nov 25Dec 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, IA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 52057 →Compare Manchester with another place →

Weather by month in Manchester

July is the warmest month at Manchester #2, IA, averaging 82°F by day and 61°F at night; January is the coldest at 26°F and 8°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 60% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,660 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 89% of the 132 Iowa stations. 34% of them (917) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 668. Precipitation totals 38.5 inches a year, most in June (6.0") and least in January (1.1"); May to September bring 60% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, IA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2681.1100%300
Feb31121.4100%270
Mar44242.1100%2514
Apr58353.8100%1270
May70474.560%2281
Jun79586.00%0551
Jul82614.80%0668
Aug80584.10%0597
Sep74493.834%1356
Oct61373.1100%11110
Nov45262.2100%2212
Dec32151.6100%291

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, IA (990 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Coggon, IA, 15 miles south of Manchester, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 3 days later (October 7), a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 52214 (Central City) →

When it snows in Manchester, Iowa

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Manchester usually arrives around November 19, and the last of the season around April 7. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, IA, 0.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 52057

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Manchester, Iowa
WhenWhat to do
February 22 – March 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 8 – March 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 5 – April 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 3 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 20Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 4 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 52057 is under a mile from Manchester #2, IA, which stands at 990 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 52057 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Iowa →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Iowa