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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 52761 — Muscatine, Iowa

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Illinois City Dam 16, IL (550 ft), under a mile north.

Updated

In Muscatine, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 18 in half of years and has passed by May 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 24, as early as October 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 188 days (NOAA, Illinois City Dam 16, IL).

Last spring frost
April 18

50% probability

First fall frost
October 24

50% probability

Growing season
188 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
December 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 4

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

26 of 26 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Muscatine

Half of springs at Illinois City Dam 16, IL see their last 32°F night by April 18; only one in ten is past it by April 5, and one in ten still has one after May 2. Planting tender crops after April 24 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 28 20%, and after May 2 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 58% of the 132 Iowa stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 24 in half of years, as early as October 11 one year in ten, and holds off past November 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 25, 7 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 188 days in a typical year, longer than at 95% of the 132 Iowa stations; it reaches 207 days one year in ten and falls short of 168 one year in ten. On average 131 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 29, and return around October 15. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 30 and March 8.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 3May 7May 11
32°FApr 5Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 2
28°FMar 25Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 19Apr 25
24°FMar 9Mar 15Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 13
20°FMar 2Mar 6Mar 9Mar 13Mar 16Mar 20Mar 25Mar 29Apr 2
16°FFeb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 5Mar 8Mar 11Mar 14Mar 18Mar 25
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
32°FOct 11Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 6
28°FOct 21Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 15
24°FOct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26
20°FNov 6Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6
16°FNov 13Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 11Dec 17

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Illinois City Dam 16, IL, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 52761 →Compare Muscatine with another place →

Weather by month in Muscatine

July is the warmest month at Illinois City Dam 16, IL, averaging 85°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 14% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,309 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 86% of the 132 Iowa stations. 35% of them (1,156) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 770. Precipitation totals 36.5 inches a year, most in June (5.0") and least in January (1.2"); May to September bring 58% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Illinois City Dam 16, IL
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan31131.2100%300
Feb35171.6100%262
Mar48302.3100%2030
Apr61393.596%6111
May72514.814%<1371
Jun81625.00%0642
Jul85654.00%0770
Aug83633.90%0713
Sep77553.60%0472
Oct64432.878%4176
Nov49312.1100%1821
Dec36201.7100%271

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Illinois City Dam 16, IL (550 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Muscatine 2N, IA, 5 miles northwest of Muscatine, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 2 days earlier (October 22), a season 4 days shorter.

Frost dates for 52778 (Wilton) →

When it snows in Muscatine, Iowa

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Muscatine usually arrives around December 7, and the last of the season around March 4. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Illinois City Dam 16, IL, 0.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 45 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 52761

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Muscatine, Iowa
WhenWhat to do
February 7 – February 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 21 – March 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 21 – April 4Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 18 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 52761 is under a mile from Illinois City Dam 16, IL, which stands at 550 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 52761 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Iowa →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Iowa