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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 55042 — Lake Elmo, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Stillwater 2SW, MN (898 ft), 4 miles northeast.

Updated

In Lake Elmo, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 30 in half of years and has passed by May 13 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 11, as early as September 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 163 days (NOAA, Stillwater 2SW, MN).

Last spring frost
April 30

50% probability

First fall frost
October 11

50% probability

Growing season
163 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 3

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lake Elmo

Half of springs at Stillwater 2SW, MN see their last 32°F night by April 30; only one in ten is past it by April 17, and one in ten still has one after May 13. Planting tender crops after May 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 8 20%, and after May 13 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 61% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 11 in half of years, as early as September 28 one year in ten, and holds off past October 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 2, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 163 days in a typical year, longer than at 84% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 181 days one year in ten and falls short of 143 one year in ten. On average 159 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 8 days longer, to about May 8, and return around October 2. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 18 and March 27.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 14May 18May 23
32°FApr 17Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 13
28°FApr 6Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28May 2
24°FMar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 20Apr 24
20°FMar 19Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 17
16°FMar 11Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 20Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 14
32°FSep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23
28°FOct 10Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 4
24°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14
20°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22
16°FNov 4Nov 8Nov 13Nov 15Nov 18Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Dec 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Stillwater 2SW, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 55042 →Compare Lake Elmo with another place →

Weather by month in Lake Elmo

July is the warmest month at Stillwater 2SW, MN, averaging 79°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 22°F and 5°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 47% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,473 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 33% of them (810) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 644.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stillwater 2SW, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan225100%310
Feb288100%280
Mar4120100%258
Apr5534100%1356
May674747%1246
Jun76580%0500
Jul79620%0644
Aug78600%0590
Sep715115%0339
Oct583899%884
Nov4125100%235
Dec2813100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stillwater 2SW, MN (898 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Stillwater 1 SE, MN, 6 miles northeast of Lake Elmo and 188 feet lower, has a last frost 8 days earlier (April 22), a first frost 8 days later (October 19), a season 15 days longer.

Frost dates for 54016 (Hudson) →

When it snows in Lake Elmo, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Lake Elmo usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around April 3. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Stillwater 1 SE, MN, 6.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 27 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 55042

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lake Elmo, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 19 – March 5Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 5 – March 19Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 2 – April 16Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 30 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 55042 is 4 miles from Stillwater 2SW, MN, which stands at 898 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 55082 (Stillwater). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 55042 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5a places in Minnesota