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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 56175 — Tracy, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tracy, MN (1,403 ft), 2 miles south.

Updated

In Tracy, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 22 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 156 days (NOAA, Tracy, MN).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
156 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 7

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

28 of 28 observed

Snow per year
49.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tracy

Half of springs at Tracy, MN see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 18, and one in ten still has one after May 15. Planting tender crops after May 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 15 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 61% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 22 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around October 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 5, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, longer than at 67% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 174 days one year in ten and falls short of 138 one year in ten. On average 159 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 11, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 11 and March 29.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 13May 16May 20May 26
32°FApr 18Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 6May 10May 15
28°FApr 8Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 5
24°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 28
20°FMar 20Mar 26Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 19
16°FMar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 13
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 14Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 10
32°FSep 22Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 20
28°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28
24°FOct 8Oct 15Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 2Nov 8
20°FOct 21Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 18
16°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 27

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tracy, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56175 →Compare Tracy with another place →

Weather by month in Tracy

July is the warmest month at Tracy, MN, averaging 82°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 23°F and 5°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 56% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,647 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 77% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 34% of them (894) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 679. Precipitation totals 29.1 inches a year, most in June (4.5") and least in January (0.6"); May to September bring 66% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tracy, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2350.6100%310
Feb2790.7100%270
Mar39221.4100%257
Apr54342.9100%1259
May68474.056%1274
Jun79584.50%0554
Jul82623.50%0679
Aug80593.40%0600
Sep73513.830%1365
Oct58372.3100%998
Nov41241.3100%2311
Dec28120.7100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tracy, MN (1,403 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Marshall, MN, 17 miles northwest of Tracy and 254 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days later (May 5), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 3), a season 6 days shorter.

Frost dates for 56258 (Marshall) →

When it snows in Tracy, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tracy usually arrives around November 6, and the last of the season around April 7. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tracy, MN, 1.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 25 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56175

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tracy, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56175 is 2 miles from Tracy, MN, which stands at 1,403 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56175 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Minnesota