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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 56220 — Canby, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Canby, MN (1,210 ft), 1 miles southeast.

Updated

In Canby, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 156 days (NOAA, Canby, MN).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
156 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
November 11

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
47.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Canby

Half of springs at Canby, MN see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 20, and one in ten still has one after May 14. Planting tender crops after May 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 14 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 85% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 23 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 6, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, longer than at 67% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 175 days one year in ten and falls short of 138 one year in ten. On average 163 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 11, and return around September 28. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 12 and March 29.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 14May 17May 21May 25
32°FApr 20Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 10May 14
28°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 6
24°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 24Apr 29
20°FMar 21Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 15Apr 19
16°FMar 11Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 14Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Oct 6Oct 10
32°FSep 23Sep 28Oct 1Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 19
28°FOct 2Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 31
24°FOct 13Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
20°FOct 22Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19
16°FOct 31Nov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Canby, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56220 →Compare Canby with another place →

Weather by month in Canby

July is the warmest month at Canby, MN, averaging 83°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 23°F and 5°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 57% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,626 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 73% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 33% of them (856) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 690. Precipitation totals 27.9 inches a year, most in June (4.1") and least in January (0.8"); May to September bring 61% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Canby, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2350.8100%310
Feb2890.9100%270
Mar40211.5100%268
Apr55332.8100%1357
May68463.457%1260
Jun78574.10%0532
Jul83623.30%0690
Aug81593.40%0614
Sep73502.830%1359
Oct59372.4100%1097
Nov42241.4100%2411
Dec29121.1100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Canby, MN (1,210 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Madison Wwtp, MN, 20 miles north of Canby, has a last frost 1 day later (May 3), a first frost 3 days earlier (October 2), a season 5 days shorter.

Frost dates for 56232 (Dawson) →

When it snows in Canby, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Canby usually arrives around November 11, and the last of the season around April 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Canby, MN, 1.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 20 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56220

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Canby, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56220 is 1 mile from Canby, MN, which stands at 1,210 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56220 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4b places in Minnesota