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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 56465 — Merrifield, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN (1,221 ft), 9 miles south.

Updated

In Merrifield, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 13 in half of years and has passed by May 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 27, as early as September 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 138 days (NOAA, Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN).

Last spring frost
May 13

50% probability

First fall frost
September 27

50% probability

Growing season
138 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 1

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

25 of 25 observed

Snow per year
39.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Merrifield

Half of springs at Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN see their last 32°F night by May 13; only one in ten is past it by April 29, and one in ten still has one after May 27. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 23 20%, and after May 27 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 37% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 27 in half of years, as early as September 14 one year in ten, and holds off past October 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 17, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 138 days in a typical year, shorter than at 81% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 157 days one year in ten and falls short of 117 one year in ten. On average 173 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 24, and return around September 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 9 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 8May 14May 18May 21May 24May 27May 29Jun 1Jun 6
32°FApr 29May 3May 6May 9May 13May 16May 19May 23May 27
28°FApr 17Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11May 17
24°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27May 1May 6
20°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25
16°FMar 20Mar 25Mar 30Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 20
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 4Sep 10Sep 14Sep 16Sep 19Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Oct 1
32°FSep 14Sep 18Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 7Oct 12
28°FSep 22Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19Oct 22
24°FOct 4Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
20°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
16°FOct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56465 →Compare Merrifield with another place →

Weather by month in Merrifield

July is the warmest month at Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN, averaging 82°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 21°F and 0°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 85% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,187 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 67% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 32% of them (701) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 607. Precipitation totals 24.8 inches a year, most in July (4.4") and least in February (0.4"); May to September bring 70% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2100.5100%310
Feb2740.4100%270
Mar40181.0100%275
Apr55311.6100%1637
May68433.385%3204
Jun77534.03%0455
Jul82584.40%0607
Aug79553.10%0535
Sep71472.662%2280
Oct56352.4100%1260
Nov40220.9100%253
Dec2680.6100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN (1,221 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Pine Rvr Dam, MN, 10 miles north of Merrifield, has a last frost 7 days earlier (May 6), a first frost 10 days later (October 7), a season 14 days longer.

Frost dates for 56472 (Pequot Lakes) →

When it snows in Merrifield, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Merrifield usually arrives around November 13, and the last of the season around April 1. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Pine Rvr Dam, MN, 9.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 42 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56465

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Merrifield, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
March 4 – March 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 18 – April 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 15 – April 29Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 13 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 5Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 13Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 27 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56465 is 9 miles from Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN, which stands at 1,221 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 56444 (Deerwood). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56465 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota